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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Thursday, February 12, 2026 BEARISH

The US stock market opened under pressure as renewed AI fears ahead of the CPI inflation report and a memory-chip supply warning dominated headlines. Cisco (CSCO) plunged 12.3% after supply concerns hit the memory-chip complex, dragging Dell (DELL) -9.1% and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -6.8% and weighing on the Infrastructure sector, which was the worst performer today at -7.6%. The Magnificent 7 group fell 2.2% as Apple (AAPL) slid 5.0% and NVIDIA (NVDA) eased 1.6%, while defensive data center names outperformed — Equinix (EQIX) jumped 10.4% and Digital Realty (DLR) rose 3.3%. Overall breadth was weak with 15 sectors down and risk-sensitive sectors leading the declines.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.09%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$62.84
-2.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Elevated Caution
20.8
+18.0% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+5.6%), QQQ above (+3.6%), DIA above (+8.6%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Add Cash
52%
35 of 68 above 50DMA · -5.9pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.79
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI-related positioning cooled today as the Mag 7 pullback highlighted rotation risk; Microsoft (MSFT) $400.06 barely budged (-0.6%) but remains under pressure relative to recent highs. NVIDIA (NVDA) $186.71, despite a modest 1.6% drop, sits above its 50-day at +3.0% while Alphabet (GOOG) $308.97 and AI beneficiaries in the chip supply chain faced fresher downside from memory shortages. Infrastructure and Enterprise Software parts of the ecosystem — evident in ServiceNow (NOW) $103.29's modest bounce — will need clearer demand signals and chip supply stability to reaccelerate AI capex flows.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.2% -2.1% -4.9% BELOW
Chip Supply Chain -2.9% -1.0% -1.4% BELOW
Infrastructure -7.6% -3.0% +7.2% BELOW
Enterprise Software +0.0% -1.9% -20.7% BELOW
Finance -3.4% -4.4% -4.7% BELOW
Healthcare +2.1% +0.5% -7.8% BELOW
Retail +3.0% +0.8% +8.3% ABOVE
IT Services -4.3% -10.2% -17.6% BELOW
Airlines -3.4% -6.7% -4.2% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel -2.3% -0.1% -5.5% BELOW
Food & Restaurant +0.2% -0.6% +5.7% ABOVE
Logistics -0.5% +0.3% +13.3% ABOVE
Industrial -1.7% +2.5% +14.5% ABOVE
Cybersecurity -0.9% +2.8% -13.9% BELOW
Chip Equipment -2.3% +0.5% +5.0% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +6.9% +9.0% +15.9% ABOVE
Utilities +1.1% +3.0% +7.4% ABOVE
Energy -2.4% +1.1% +13.3% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace +0.7% -0.6% +1.3% ABOVE
Telecom +1.5% +7.2% +19.9% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -5.0% -6.8% -11.8% BELOW
Biotech -1.3% -2.6% +18.1% ABOVE
Materials +0.3% +4.2% +8.5% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips -1.9% +2.3% +12.3% ABOVE

Sector Strength

Data Center REITs +6.9% 20d: +15.9%
Equinix (EQIX) +10.4% (20d: +19.5%), Digital Realty (DLR) +3.3% (20d: +12.3%)
Retail +3.0% 20d: +8.3%
Walmart (WMT) +3.8% (20d: +12.1%), Costco (COST) +2.1% (20d: +4.5%)
Healthcare +2.1% 20d: -7.8%
Eli Lilly (LLY) +2.3% (20d: +0.5%) [<50MA], UnitedHealth (UNH) +2.0% (20d: -16.1%) [<50MA]
Telecom +1.5% 20d: +19.9%
T-Mobile (TMUS) +2.5% (20d: +12.6%), AT&T (T) +1.2% (20d: +21.4%), Verizon (VZ) +1.0% (20d: +25.7%)
Utilities +1.1% 20d: +7.4%
Southern Co (SO) +1.9% (20d: +4.3%), Duke Energy (DUK) +0.7% (20d: +6.1%), NextEra Energy (NEE) +0.6% (20d: +11.9%)

Sector Warnings

Infrastructure -7.6% 20d: +7.2%
Cisco (CSCO) -12.3% (20d: -0.3%) [<50MA], Dell (DELL) -9.1% (20d: -5.3%) [<50MA], Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -6.8% (20d: +1.1%) [<50MA]
Media & Entertainment -5.0% 20d: -11.8% CRITICAL
Disney (DIS) -5.3% (20d: -9.7%) [<50MA], Netflix (NFLX) -4.7% (20d: -13.8%) [<50MA]
IT Services -4.3% 20d: -17.6% CRITICAL
IBM -4.9% (20d: -12.4%) [<50MA], Accenture (ACN) -3.6% (20d: -22.8%) [<50MA]
Finance -3.4% 20d: -4.7%
Goldman Sachs (GS) -4.2% (20d: -7.3%) [<50MA], JPMorgan (JPM) -2.6% (20d: -2.1%) [<50MA]
Airlines -3.4% 20d: -4.2%
United (UAL) -4.1% (20d: -5.8%) [<50MA], Delta (DAL) -2.7% (20d: -2.6%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain showed renewed stress as the sector fell 2.9% on the day and sits below its 50-day by 4.1% over that window. Cisco (CSCO) $74.32 led the rout with a 12.3% plunge after comments pointed to tighter memory availability; that move cascaded to Dell (DELL) $112.47, down 9.1% and HPE (HPE) $21.99, down 6.8%, all of which are trading under pressure relative to their 50-day context. Over the 50-day horizon the group is negative, and the 50-day trend suggests elevated volatility for chips and OEMs until supply signals normalize.

Infrastructure was the weakest sector today at -7.6% and sits just above its 50-day by 1.3% over the longer window, masking near-term deterioration. Dell (DELL) $112.47 and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) $21.99 were heavy losers, while Cisco (CSCO) $74.32's double-digit slide amplified selling across networking and server vendors. Super Micro (SMCI) $30.43 was also weak, down 5.0%, and the 50-day trend shows the group flirting with consolidation; investors should watch order trends and component lead times as catalysts for a durable recovery.

Data Center REITs bucked the weakness, rising 6.9% for the day and sitting well above the 50-day at +23.9%, indicating continued demand for cloud infrastructure. Equinix (EQIX) $947.99 exploded higher, up 10.4%, and Digital Realty (DLR) $177.90 gained 3.3% as buyers favored defensive AI-adjacent real estate that benefits from secular cloud growth. The 50-day technical context is constructive for the group, and the outperformance contrasts sharply with the broader chip and enterprise hardware stress.

Enterprise Software showed mixed signals and is flagged as a high alert given a 20-day decline of 20.7% and a 50-day decline of 25.3%, leaving the sector deeply below its 50-day trend. ServiceNow (NOW) $103.29 managed a 2.7% gain but the group-level weakness persists; IT Services and Software names remain sensitive to macro and spending cycles. From a 50-day perspective, the sector is in structural drawdown and needs tangible signs of renewed enterprise spending before sentiment can stabilize.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 13 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 11 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 14 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Enterprise Software down -20.7% over 20 days
HIGH IT Services down -17.6% over 20 days
HIGH Cybersecurity down -13.9% over 20 days
HIGH Media & Entertainment down -11.8% over 20 days
HIGH Enterprise Software down -25.3% over 50 days
HIGH Cybersecurity down -21.3% over 50 days
HIGH Media & Entertainment down -16.2% over 50 days
HIGH 6 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Enterprise Software, Healthcare, IT Services, Hospitality & Travel, Cybersecurity, Media & Entertainment
HIGH 4 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Enterprise Software, IT Services, Cybersecurity, Media & Entertainment
MEDIUM MSFT down -16.6% from 20-day high
MEDIUM AMZN down -18.4% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MSFT $400.06 -0.6% +0.2% -12.0% -18.0% BELOW 3
GOOG $308.97 -0.6% -4.2% -7.1% -2.0% BELOW 3
NVDA $186.71 -1.6% +0.8% -0.1% +3.0% ABOVE 1
AMZN $199.60 -2.2% -5.1% -16.2% -14.9% BELOW 8
TSLA $417.07 -2.6% +1.4% -4.9% -2.8% BELOW 1
META $648.65 -2.8% -1.8% +4.7% +0.5% BELOW 3
AAPL $261.49 -5.0% -5.8% +1.5% -8.5% BELOW 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TSM $366.21 -1.6% +5.5% +7.7% +26.4% ABOVE 1
QCOM $137.08 -1.8% +0.8% -14.2% -18.5% BELOW 1
ARM $122.19 -2.5% -1.2% +16.2% -10.5% ABOVE 2
AVGO $329.95 -3.4% -0.5% -3.5% -13.0% BELOW 1
AMD $205.94 -3.6% -1.2% -9.6% -4.3% BELOW 1
INTC $46.48 -3.7% -8.1% -3.8% +6.9% ABOVE 1
MRVL $78.17 -3.8% -2.6% -2.7% -15.7% BELOW 3
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VRT $236.40 -4.8% +20.9% +37.1% +30.7% ABOVE 1
SMCI $30.43 -5.0% -11.5% +3.4% -7.6% BELOW 4
HPE $21.99 -6.8% -6.0% +1.1% +1.9% BELOW 2
DELL $112.47 -9.1% -6.8% -5.3% -16.7% BELOW 2
CSCO $74.32 -12.3% -11.6% -0.3% -1.9% BELOW 3
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NOW $103.29 +2.7% +2.5% -21.3% -37.4% BELOW 0
ADBE $262.50 +2.1% -2.2% -13.7% -18.7% BELOW 0
CRM $184.49 +0.2% -3.1% -20.6% -20.9% BELOW 0
PLTR $129.13 -4.8% -5.0% -27.1% -24.3% BELOW 3
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $299.75 -2.6% -6.1% -2.1% -1.3% BELOW 4
GS $895.87 -4.2% -2.6% -7.3% +11.0% BELOW 2
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $1034.76 +2.3% -1.9% +0.5% -0.8% BELOW 0
UNH $280.57 +2.0% +2.8% -16.1% -11.8% BELOW 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $133.11 +3.8% +1.9% +12.1% +19.1% ABOVE 0
COST $997.41 +2.1% -0.2% +4.5% +8.5% ABOVE 0
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $217.57 -3.6% -7.7% -22.8% -14.9% BELOW 2
IBM $257.62 -4.9% -12.7% -12.4% -13.5% BELOW 4
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $68.96 -2.7% -7.8% -2.6% +6.7% BELOW 4
UAL $109.30 -4.1% -5.7% -5.8% +4.7% BELOW 2
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $353.70 -1.0% +6.6% +9.0% +16.6% ABOVE 2
BKNG $165.57 -3.6% -6.7% -19.9% -18.9% BELOW 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $328.01 +2.7% +1.5% +7.6% +10.4% ABOVE 0
SBUX $95.58 -2.4% -2.7% +3.7% +13.6% ABOVE 1
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $295.40 +0.6% +0.1% +18.0% +37.4% ABOVE 0
UPS $114.52 -1.6% +0.6% +8.7% +23.5% ABOVE 1
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $248.92 -1.2% +0.6% +11.5% +24.2% ABOVE 2
CAT $756.85 -2.2% +4.4% +17.4% +30.5% ABOVE 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ZS $170.90 -0.1% +2.1% -18.8% -29.3% BELOW 2
CRWD $102.89 -1.0% +4.1% -9.6% -20.3% BELOW 1
PANW $162.81 -1.5% +2.2% -13.3% -14.3% BELOW 3
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $230.85 -1.6% +0.1% +6.4% +46.5% ABOVE 1
ASML $1403.80 -2.0% -0.3% +5.8% +27.1% ABOVE 1
AMAT $327.57 -3.4% +1.8% +2.9% +23.8% ABOVE 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $947.99 +10.4% +12.9% +19.5% +31.7% ABOVE 0
DLR $177.90 +3.3% +5.1% +12.3% +16.1% ABOVE 0
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SO $91.08 +1.9% +2.8% +4.3% +4.0% ABOVE 0
DUK $123.97 +0.7% +3.5% +6.1% +5.4% ABOVE 0
NEE $90.64 +0.6% +2.7% +11.9% +8.7% ABOVE 0
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $178.99 -1.8% +0.9% +9.8% +21.4% ABOVE 1
XOM $148.92 -3.0% +1.3% +16.9% +30.8% ABOVE 1
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $199.64 +2.4% +1.2% +0.7% +19.2% ABOVE 0
LMT $629.96 +1.4% +2.2% +10.3% +44.3% ABOVE 0
GD $337.69 -1.6% -5.4% -7.2% +1.9% BELOW 3
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TMUS $212.50 +2.5% +8.8% +12.6% +2.2% ABOVE 0
T $28.13 +1.2% +6.2% +21.4% +14.2% ABOVE 0
VZ $47.91 +1.0% +6.8% +25.7% +23.9% ABOVE 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $75.86 -4.7% -7.7% -13.8% -30.6% BELOW 2
DIS $101.60 -5.3% -5.8% -9.7% -1.7% BELOW 2
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $360.95 -0.1% -4.7% +11.0% +8.2% ABOVE 1
GILD $149.97 -2.6% -0.5% +25.2% +23.3% ABOVE 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $469.79 +1.1% +5.5% +7.5% +16.1% ABOVE 0
APD $287.90 -0.6% +3.0% +9.6% +14.4% ABOVE 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $221.87 -1.6% +0.7% +18.7% +28.1% ABOVE 1
MCHP $78.07 -2.3% +3.8% +6.0% +39.2% ABOVE 1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Cisco (CSCO) (Infrastructure) fell 12.3% to $74.32. Equinix (EQIX) (Data Center REITs) rose 10.4% to $947.99. Dell (DELL) (Infrastructure) fell 9.1% to $112.47. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) (Infrastructure) fell 6.8% to $21.99. Disney (DIS) (Media & Entertainment) fell 5.3% to $101.60. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 9 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term outlook is cautious: 7 sectors are up while 15 are down, and 13 sectors trade above their 50MA versus 11 below, signaling a bifurcated S&P 500. Active alerts remain elevated — multiple sectors show double-digit declines over 20 and 50 days — and breadth metrics point to selective leadership centered on Data Center REITs and defensive Retail names. Positioning should be tactical: reduce exposure to weak 50-day trend sectors like Enterprise Software and IT Services, and selectively overweight resilient themes such as data center infrastructure and high-quality cyclicals that are above their 50-day averages.

Hypothetical Portfolio

SIMULATION
Value $103,027
P&L +3.03%
Today -1.16%
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