US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, March 21, 2025 MIXED

A late-session rotation defined the US stock market today as cyclical and select AI names outperformed while broader technology and chip-related groups continued to correct. The most impactful development was another pullback in the Magnificent 7 theme — Mag 7 (AI Spenders) remains down 10.8% over 20 days — even as Tesla (TSLA) rallied 5.3% to $248.71 and Super Micro (SMCI) led gainers with a 7.8% surge to $42.15. Sector breadth was mixed: 12 sectors finished up, 9 down and 3 flat, but only 6 of 24 sectors sit above their 50-day moving average while 18 trade below. Notable divergences today included Infrastructure up 1.0% versus Logistics falling 4.0%, and defense weakness after Lockheed Martin (LMT) slid 5.8% to $425.22 pressured the Defense & Aerospace average.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.25%

falling

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$68.28

+0.0% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

19.3

-2.6% 1D

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Strong Cash-Deploy Signal

31%

21 of 68 above 50DMA · +2.9pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Caution

0.75

Call-Heavy · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme showed strain in the near term as the Mag 7 cohort remains beneath its 50-day trend, but individual winners highlight idiosyncratic flows into infrastructure-related hardware and enterprise plays. NVIDIA (NVDA) $117.54 is trading down 0.7% today and sits 16.0% below its 50-day, underscoring that chip demand optimism is being re-priced across the supply chain. At the same time, Microsoft (MSFT) $387.45 and Apple (AAPL) $217.12 held modest gains, reflecting continued enterprise software and services spending; Enterprise Software rose 1.1% today despite a 20-day decline of 8.1%, signaling selective capital allocation into software and cloud infrastructure rather than broad chip exposure.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	+1.5%	+0.6%	-10.8%	BELOW
Chip Supply Chain	-0.0%	-1.0%	-8.9%	BELOW
Infrastructure	+1.0%	+0.2%	-12.4%	BELOW
Enterprise Software	+1.1%	-0.2%	-8.1%	BELOW
Finance	+0.8%	+2.9%	-8.4%	BELOW
Healthcare	+0.2%	+2.6%	+3.7%	ABOVE
Retail	+1.0%	-1.1%	-10.1%	BELOW
IT Services	+0.8%	-4.9%	-11.5%	BELOW
Airlines	+0.4%	+0.5%	-23.6%	BELOW
Hospitality & Travel	-1.2%	-1.5%	-11.2%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	-1.4%	-0.8%	-7.2%	BELOW
Logistics	-4.0%	-4.3%	-4.8%	BELOW
Industrial	-0.3%	-1.1%	-0.1%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	-0.6%	-0.3%	-2.5%	BELOW
Chip Equipment	-2.0%	-2.4%	-7.1%	BELOW
Data Center REITs	-1.3%	-1.8%	-6.4%	BELOW
Utilities	-0.6%	-1.5%	+1.4%	ABOVE
Energy	-0.2%	+2.7%	+4.1%	ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace	-2.7%	-2.1%	+4.4%	ABOVE
Telecom	+0.3%	-0.1%	-0.6%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	+0.8%	+0.6%	-6.7%	BELOW
Biotech	+0.7%	-2.5%	-0.4%	ABOVE
Materials	-0.2%	-0.9%	-2.7%	BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips	+0.2%	-3.5%	-12.9%	BELOW

Sector Strength

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +1.5% 20d: -10.8%

Tesla (TSLA) +5.3% (20d: -24.8%) [<50MA], Apple (AAPL) +1.9% (20d: -11.7%) [<50MA], Meta (META) +1.7% (20d: -10.7%) [<50MA]

Enterprise Software +1.1% 20d: -8.1%

Palantir (PLTR) +4.1% (20d: +0.3%), Salesforce (CRM) +0.6% (20d: -9.0%) [<50MA], ServiceNow (NOW) +0.4% (20d: -10.8%) [<50MA]

Infrastructure +1.0% 20d: -12.4%

Super Micro (SMCI) +7.8% (20d: -18.3%), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -0.3% (20d: -22.0%) [<50MA], Vertiv (VRT) -0.5% (20d: -2.6%) [<50MA]

Retail +1.0% 20d: -10.1%

Costco (COST) +1.5% (20d: -12.2%) [<50MA], Walmart (WMT) +0.5% (20d: -8.0%) [<50MA]

IT Services +0.8% 20d: -11.5%

Accenture (ACN) +1.5% (20d: -16.1%) [<50MA], IBM +0.2% (20d: -6.9%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Logistics -4.0% 20d: -4.8%

FedEx (FDX) -6.4% (20d: -8.7%) [<50MA], UPS -1.6% (20d: -0.9%) [<50MA]

Defense & Aerospace -2.7% 20d: +4.4%

Lockheed Martin (LMT) -5.8% (20d: +0.6%) [<50MA], RTX Corp (RTX) -1.6% (20d: +5.5%), General Dynamics (GD) -0.9% (20d: +7.0%)

Chip Equipment -2.0% 20d: -7.1%

ASML -2.4% (20d: -2.7%) [<50MA], Lam Research (LRCX) -2.2% (20d: -8.7%) [<50MA], Applied Materials (AMAT) -1.5% (20d: -9.8%) [<50MA]

Food & Restaurant -1.4% 20d: -7.2%

Starbucks (SBUX) -2.2% (20d: -14.2%) [<50MA], McDonald's (MCD) -0.5% (20d: -0.1%)

Data Center REITs -1.3% 20d: -6.4%

Equinix (EQIX) -2.0% (20d: -7.7%) [<50MA], Digital Realty (DLR) -0.7% (20d: -5.0%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Equipment and Chip Supply Chain: The chip complex remained a pressure point in today’s sector analysis, with Chip Equipment down 2.0% and ASML (ASML) $708.46 among the heaviest single-stock drags at -2.4% for the day. NVIDIA (NVDA) $117.54 was down 0.7% and the broader Chip Supply Chain group is essentially flat today but deeply negative over the 50-day window (Chip Supply Chain -11.5% vs 50-day). Over the last 50 days the sector trend is clearly lower and the 20-day erosion (Chip Equipment -7.1% over 20 days; Analog & Embedded Chips -12.9% over 20 days) confirms a multi-week unwinding of positions ahead of any durable demand re-acceleration.

Infrastructure and Data Center REITs: Infrastructure posted a constructive 1.0% gain today led by Super Micro (SMCI) $42.15, which jumped 7.8% and is acting as a short-term focal point for capex recovery narratives. That said, Data Center REITs fell 1.3% and remain 14.0% below their 50-day average, signaling a longer-term downtrend in the 50-day window for real estate tied to cloud capacity. The divergence between one-off infrastructure hardware strength and persistent REIT weakness argues for caution: hardware order flows can recover unevenly while REIT cash flows reflect lagged demand and lower valuation sentiment.

Consumer & Travel Pressure: Retail and Food & Restaurant showed bifurcation in consumer behavior; Retail was up 1.0% today but remains 4.0% below its 50-day average, while Food & Restaurant declined 1.4% on the day yet paradoxically sits 6.2% above its 50-day. Starbucks (SBUX) $93.91 led discretionary weakness at -2.2% and Hospitality & Travel continues to struggle — Marriott (MAR) $234.80 fell 3.0% and the sector is 9.0% below its 50-day. The 50-day context points to selective spending resilience in staples and some restaurants while travel and lodging are still digesting weaker booking trends.

Logistics & Industrials: Logistics was the weakest link today, down 4.0% and dragging FedEx (FDX) $180.89 lower by -6.4%, while Industrial averages slipped 0.3% with the sector 5.4% below its 50-day. The 50-day weakness in Logistics (-11.8% vs 50-day) and Data Center REITs underscores persistent demand slowdown signals for transportation and industrial capital allocation. Investors should treat industrial names as late-cycle risk trades until 50-day trends show stabilization.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 6 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 18 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 20 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Mag 7 (AI Spenders) down -10.8% over 20 days

HIGH Infrastructure down -12.4% over 20 days

HIGH Retail down -10.1% over 20 days

HIGH IT Services down -11.5% over 20 days

HIGH Airlines down -23.6% over 20 days

HIGH Hospitality & Travel down -11.2% over 20 days

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -12.9% over 20 days

HIGH Airlines down -25.7% over 50 days

HIGH 14 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Chip Supply Chain, Infrastructure, Enterprise Software, Finance, Retail, IT Services, Airlines, Hospitality & Travel, Food & Restaurant, Chip Equipment, Data Center REITs, Media & Entertainment, Analog & Embedded Chips

HIGH 5 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Chip Supply Chain, Airlines, Logistics, Data Center REITs

MEDIUM TSLA down -24.8% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TSLA	$248.71	+5.3%	+4.5%	-24.8%	-37.0%	BELOW	0
AAPL	$217.12	+1.9%	+2.0%	-11.7%	-10.0%	BELOW	0
META	$593.85	+1.7%	-1.4%	-10.7%	-2.3%	BELOW	0
MSFT	$387.45	+1.1%	+0.7%	-3.2%	-7.7%	BELOW	0
GOOG	$165.58	+0.7%	-0.2%	-8.1%	-14.8%	BELOW	0
AMZN	$196.21	+0.6%	+0.2%	-7.8%	-11.7%	BELOW	0
NVDA	$117.54	-0.7%	-1.5%	-9.6%	-16.0%	BELOW	1

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
INTC	$24.26	+1.3%	-5.6%	-0.0%	+22.0%	ABOVE	0
AVGO	$189.82	+0.6%	-1.2%	-7.5%	-16.2%	BELOW	0
ARM	$119.07	+0.0%	-1.9%	-15.3%	-18.0%	BELOW	0
MRVL	$70.10	-0.1%	-0.0%	-28.1%	-40.4%	BELOW	1
TSM	$174.16	-0.4%	+0.7%	-7.4%	-14.3%	BELOW	1
AMD	$106.44	-0.7%	+1.8%	-1.5%	-12.6%	BELOW	1
QCOM	$152.67	-0.7%	-0.7%	-2.1%	-0.9%	BELOW	2

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SMCI	$42.15	+7.8%	+0.5%	-18.3%	+29.3%	ABOVE	0
HPE	$15.61	-0.3%	+2.1%	-22.0%	-26.6%	BELOW	2
VRT	$88.50	-0.5%	-0.5%	-2.6%	-31.4%	BELOW	2
CSCO	$58.33	-0.5%	-1.0%	-4.6%	+1.9%	BELOW	2
DELL	$95.50	-1.4%	-0.1%	-14.5%	-17.9%	BELOW	1

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PLTR	$90.96	+4.1%	+4.1%	+0.3%	+33.3%	ABOVE	0
CRM	$277.39	+0.6%	-0.0%	-9.0%	-14.2%	BELOW	0
NOW	$165.55	+0.4%	-1.8%	-10.8%	-21.1%	BELOW	0
ADBE	$387.26	-0.6%	-3.0%	-12.9%	-7.7%	BELOW	1

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
JPM	$234.51	+1.1%	+3.3%	-7.5%	-0.6%	BELOW	0
GS	$551.24	+0.4%	+2.5%	-9.3%	-2.1%	BELOW	0

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UNH	$499.82	+1.1%	+3.6%	+12.5%	-1.0%	ABOVE	0
LLY	$829.99	-0.6%	+1.6%	-5.0%	+6.6%	ABOVE	1

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
COST	$902.99	+1.5%	-0.8%	-12.2%	-1.8%	BELOW	0
WMT	$85.06	+0.5%	-1.4%	-8.0%	-6.1%	BELOW	0

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ACN	$296.20	+1.5%	-6.3%	-16.1%	-14.3%	BELOW	0
IBM	$236.22	+0.2%	-3.6%	-6.9%	+10.0%	BELOW	0

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UAL	$74.87	+1.1%	+1.3%	-23.4%	-27.8%	BELOW	0
DAL	$45.97	-0.4%	-0.3%	-23.8%	-23.7%	BELOW	2

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
BKNG	$182.83	+0.6%	+1.2%	-8.4%	-5.0%	BELOW	0
MAR	$234.80	-3.0%	-4.3%	-14.0%	-13.0%	BELOW	2

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCD	$296.52	-0.5%	+0.5%	-0.1%	+7.1%	ABOVE	1
SBUX	$93.91	-2.2%	-2.0%	-14.2%	+5.4%	BELOW	1

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UPS	$105.95	-1.6%	-2.5%	-0.9%	-7.9%	BELOW	3
FDX	$180.89	-6.4%	-6.1%	-8.7%	-15.8%	BELOW	2

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$330.59	-0.1%	-2.0%	-0.9%	-6.7%	BELOW	2
HON	$202.23	-0.4%	-0.1%	+0.6%	-4.1%	BELOW	1

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ZS	$205.20	+0.8%	+1.3%	+4.1%	+9.6%	ABOVE	0
PANW	$182.32	-0.9%	-1.4%	-4.2%	+5.5%	BELOW	2
CRWD	$90.56	-1.8%	-0.7%	-7.5%	+1.0%	BELOW	2

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMAT	$150.58	-1.5%	-2.1%	-9.8%	-13.9%	BELOW	2
LRCX	$75.24	-2.2%	-3.2%	-8.7%	-1.3%	BELOW	2
ASML	$708.46	-2.4%	-1.9%	-2.7%	-3.5%	BELOW	2

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DLR	$145.15	-0.7%	-1.0%	-5.0%	-16.2%	BELOW	1
EQIX	$811.66	-2.0%	-2.6%	-7.7%	-11.8%	BELOW	2

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NEE	$68.33	-0.4%	-1.7%	+0.9%	+1.1%	ABOVE	1
SO	$85.81	-0.7%	-1.3%	+0.5%	+8.5%	ABOVE	1
DUK	$114.04	-0.9%	-1.4%	+2.7%	+11.1%	ABOVE	1

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CVX	$156.22	-0.0%	+3.8%	+4.3%	+10.8%	ABOVE	1
XOM	$110.91	-0.3%	+1.5%	+3.8%	+9.0%	ABOVE	1

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GD	$256.10	-0.9%	-0.7%	+7.0%	+1.3%	ABOVE	2
RTX	$129.63	-1.6%	+0.2%	+5.5%	+14.8%	ABOVE	2
LMT	$425.22	-5.8%	-6.0%	+0.6%	-5.5%	BELOW	2

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
T	$25.28	+0.9%	+0.7%	+1.0%	+23.4%	ABOVE	0
VZ	$39.88	+0.5%	+0.8%	+1.5%	+15.0%	ABOVE	0
TMUS	$250.18	-0.5%	-1.7%	-4.3%	+19.1%	ABOVE	3

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NFLX	$96.03	+1.0%	+1.1%	-2.9%	+9.7%	ABOVE	0
DIS	$97.62	+0.6%	+0.1%	-10.6%	-9.4%	BELOW	0

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GILD	$103.63	+1.1%	-4.6%	-2.9%	+21.0%	ABOVE	0
AMGN	$304.13	+0.3%	-0.4%	+2.0%	+20.6%	ABOVE	0

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LIN	$450.80	+0.1%	-0.4%	+0.3%	+9.5%	ABOVE	0
APD	$280.56	-0.4%	-1.3%	-5.7%	+2.2%	BELOW	2

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCHP	$49.97	+1.4%	-6.4%	-15.0%	-7.6%	BELOW	0
TXN	$172.64	-0.9%	-0.6%	-10.8%	-5.9%	BELOW	2

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) rose 7.8% to $42.15. FedEx (FDX) (Logistics) fell 6.4% to $180.89. Lockheed Martin (LMT) (Defense & Aerospace) fell 5.8% to $425.22. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 5.3% to $248.71. Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) rose 4.1% to $90.96. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 10 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

With 18 of 24 sectors trading below their 50-day moving averages and six sectors above, the near-term market backdrop is defensive; active alerts remain elevated — notably high alerts on Mag 7, Infrastructure, Retail, IT Services, Airlines and others — and 14 sectors have lost more than 5% over the last 20 days. Breadth metrics and the 50-day trend suggest selective exposure: favor quality technology and software names with resilient revenue streams and avoid cyclical exposure in Logistics, Airlines and chip supply-chain sectors until 50-day momentum reverses. Positioning: trim duration and reduce outright cyclical risk, reallocate into specific infrastructure and enterprise software winners while maintaining cash for clearer 50-day recoveries.

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