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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, January 14, 2025 BULLISH

A surprise earnings beat and upbeat guidance from Vertiv (VRT) helped led sector strength today, with the Infrastructure complex jumping and helping lift the US stock market while defensive Healthcare lagged after an Eli Lilly (LLY) decline. The S&P 500 internals were constructive: 17 sectors finished higher, five lower and two flat, though only five sectors remain above their 50-day moving averages. The Magnificent 7 group softened overall, with Amazon (AMZN) down 0.3% to $217.76 and NVIDIA (NVDA) retreating 1.1% to $131.56, weighing on headline momentum even as airlines and materials caught a bid.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Sell / Wait
4.78%
rising
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$77.50
-1.7% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
18.7
-2.5% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Strong Cash-Deploy Signal
28%
19 of 68 above 50DMA · -16.2pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme showed mixed signals today as the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) average slipped 1.0% despite ongoing secular demand for inferencing and model-training capacity. NVIDIA (NVDA) at $131.56 (-1.1%) remains the focal point for chip supply chain expectations, while ARM Holdings (ARM) at $140.06 (+2.2%) outperformed inside the Chip Supply Chain group, signaling selective buying. Microsoft (MSFT) $410.80 and Alphabet (GOOG) $190.06 continue to anchor cloud infrastructure and enterprise software spending narratives, but the 50-day context suggests rotation between AI hardware and infrastructure plays rather than a uniform Mag 7 advance.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -1.0% -2.8% -4.7% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain +0.4% -3.4% -3.6% ABOVE
Infrastructure +0.9% -4.1% -3.2% ABOVE
Enterprise Software +1.3% -2.7% -10.3% BELOW
Finance +1.4% +0.1% +0.6% BELOW
Healthcare -3.1% +1.0% -0.6% BELOW
Retail -0.8% -0.2% -5.5% BELOW
IT Services +0.1% -2.4% -4.2% BELOW
Airlines +2.3% +7.4% +10.5% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel +0.9% +1.1% -6.1% BELOW
Food & Restaurant -0.6% -1.2% -4.8% BELOW
Logistics +0.9% +0.8% -2.2% BELOW
Industrial +1.1% +0.7% -3.2% BELOW
Cybersecurity +0.9% -1.9% -8.5% BELOW
Chip Equipment +1.2% -2.8% +1.1% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +0.5% -3.9% -6.5% BELOW
Utilities +0.8% -0.8% -3.6% BELOW
Energy +0.7% +2.9% +0.5% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace +0.8% +3.5% +0.1% BELOW
Telecom +0.6% +0.1% -7.4% BELOW
Media & Entertainment -0.7% -4.4% -7.0% BELOW
Biotech +0.0% +1.2% -1.1% BELOW
Materials +1.7% +5.3% -1.3% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips +1.5% -0.2% -2.0% BELOW

Sector Strength

Airlines +2.3% 20d: +10.5%
United (UAL) +2.8% (20d: +13.2%), Delta (DAL) +1.8% (20d: +7.8%)
Materials +1.7% 20d: -1.3%
Air Products (APD) +2.1% (20d: -0.8%) [<50MA], Linde (LIN) +1.4% (20d: -1.8%) [<50MA]
Analog & Embedded Chips +1.5% 20d: -2.0%
Microchip Technology (MCHP) +1.7% (20d: -5.1%) [<50MA], Texas Instruments (TXN) +1.3% (20d: +1.0%) [<50MA]
Finance +1.4% 20d: +0.6%
Goldman Sachs (GS) +1.5% (20d: -2.4%) [<50MA], JPMorgan (JPM) +1.3% (20d: +3.7%)
Enterprise Software +1.3% 20d: -10.3%
ServiceNow (NOW) +1.5% (20d: -8.0%) [<50MA], Palantir (PLTR) +1.4% (20d: -13.4%) [<50MA], Salesforce (CRM) +1.4% (20d: -8.6%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Healthcare -3.1% 20d: -0.6%
Eli Lilly (LLY) -6.6% (20d: -5.6%) [<50MA], UnitedHealth (UNH) +0.5% (20d: +4.5%) [<50MA]
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -1.0% 20d: -4.7%
Meta (META) -2.3% (20d: -4.1%), Tesla (TSLA) -1.7% (20d: -9.1%), NVIDIA (NVDA) -1.1% (20d: -1.9%) [<50MA]
Retail -0.8% 20d: -5.5%
Walmart (WMT) -0.8% (20d: -3.7%), Costco (COST) -0.8% (20d: -7.3%) [<50MA]
Media & Entertainment -0.7% 20d: -7.0%
Netflix (NFLX) -1.4% (20d: -9.8%) [<50MA], Disney (DIS) +0.0% (20d: -4.2%) [<50MA]
Food & Restaurant -0.6% 20d: -4.8%
McDonald's (MCD) -0.7% (20d: -5.1%) [<50MA], Starbucks (SBUX) -0.5% (20d: -4.5%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Infrastructure showed leadership today, propelled by Vertiv (VRT) which surged 4.0% to $128.71 on stronger-than-expected results and commentary; the sector sits ABOVE its 50-day moving average and the 50-day window confirms a resilient trend for names tied to data center and power conversion. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) rallied 2.5% to $21.74 and Super Micro (SMCI) gave back 1.8% to $30.53, illustrating intra-sector dispersion where larger, stable infrastructure providers are holding the 50-day trend while smaller OEMs see more chop.

Airlines outperformed with United (UAL) climbing 2.8% to $107.67 as travel demand measures stayed firm; the Airlines sector is ABOVE its 50-day moving average and has advanced 26.7% over the 50-day horizon, underscoring a strong cyclical rebound. This 50-day strength contrasts with broader travel-related groups below their 50-day averages and suggests selectivity—network carriers benefitted from pricing leverage while ancillary service names remain rangebound.

Chip Supply Chain was constructive overall, with ARM Holdings (ARM) up 2.2% to $140.06 and the sector ABOVE its 50-day moving average, reflecting ongoing capital expenditure expectations tied to AI deployments. Chip Equipment also sits ABOVE its 50-day moving average and recorded a 1.2% gain on the day, supporting the 50-day narrative that capital intensity for next-generation nodes is feeding demand across the supply chain even as some component suppliers remain volatile within the 50-day band.

Enterprise Software faces a material near-term headwind: the sector is BELOW its 50-day moving average and down 10.3% over 20 days, triggering a HIGH alert for deterioration. Despite pockets of resilience in cloud platforms, the 50-day trend shows fading breadth and several names have slipped below moving-average support, making the sector a risk-off candidate until 50-day participation improves.

Healthcare underperformed markedly, led by Eli Lilly (LLY) which plunged 6.6% to $736.89 and pushed the Healthcare sector well BELOW its 50-day moving average (50-day: -6.7%). The 50-day context for Healthcare is negative overall, with defensive positioning failing to insulate from idiosyncratic drug and guidance news; position sizing and stop discipline are warranted for exposure here given the 50-day weakness.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 5 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 19 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 19 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Enterprise Software down -10.3% over 20 days
HIGH 7 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Enterprise Software, Retail, Hospitality & Travel, Cybersecurity, Data Center REITs, Telecom, Media & Entertainment
MEDIUM TSLA down -17.4% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMZN $217.76 -0.3% -2.0% -4.3% +16.8% ABOVE 3
MSFT $410.80 -0.4% -1.6% -7.1% +2.5% BELOW 3
AAPL $231.80 -0.5% -3.7% -6.0% +3.4% BELOW 3
GOOG $190.06 -0.6% -2.9% -0.2% +10.8% ABOVE 5
NVDA $131.56 -1.1% -6.0% -1.9% -0.7% BELOW 5
TSLA $396.36 -1.7% +0.5% -9.1% +58.6% ABOVE 1
META $591.33 -2.3% -3.8% -4.1% +4.8% ABOVE 2
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ARM $140.06 +2.2% -3.0% -7.8% -0.9% ABOVE 0
QCOM $154.47 +1.5% -0.6% +0.6% -1.5% BELOW 0
TSM $197.75 +0.0% -4.7% +0.2% +6.1% ABOVE 0
MRVL $114.73 +0.0% -0.8% -4.6% +43.9% ABOVE 0
INTC $19.20 +0.0% -4.0% -5.6% -10.8% BELOW 0
AVGO $221.87 -0.3% -1.7% +0.2% +32.7% ABOVE 1
AMD $116.09 -1.0% -8.8% -8.5% -19.4% BELOW 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VRT $128.71 +4.0% -1.3% +2.5% +18.0% ABOVE 0
HPE $21.74 +2.5% +1.2% +3.9% +16.4% ABOVE 0
CSCO $57.40 +1.0% +0.7% +1.9% +9.1% ABOVE 0
DELL $106.32 -1.0% -10.1% -7.9% -11.8% BELOW 5
SMCI $30.53 -1.8% -11.2% -16.2% +4.9% BELOW 5
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NOW $206.26 +1.5% -2.2% -8.0% +10.5% BELOW 0
PLTR $65.91 +1.4% -5.8% -13.4% +58.6% BELOW 0
CRM $319.81 +1.4% -0.4% -8.6% +11.2% BELOW 0
ADBE $412.71 +1.0% -2.3% -11.4% -13.7% BELOW 0
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $554.72 +1.5% -1.5% -2.4% +10.9% BELOW 0
JPM $240.18 +1.3% +1.8% +3.7% +12.1% ABOVE 0
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $523.59 +0.5% +5.7% +4.5% -3.3% BELOW 0
LLY $736.89 -6.6% -3.7% -5.6% -10.1% BELOW 2
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
COST $909.90 -0.8% -0.4% -7.3% +5.1% BELOW 2
WMT $89.57 -0.8% -0.0% -3.7% +11.0% ABOVE 2
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $209.52 +0.2% -2.8% -5.7% +6.2% BELOW 0
ACN $337.13 -0.0% -2.1% -2.7% +1.2% BELOW 3
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $107.67 +2.8% +6.4% +13.2% +37.6% ABOVE 0
DAL $64.99 +1.8% +8.4% +7.8% +15.9% ABOVE 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $272.69 +1.5% +2.5% -3.7% +6.6% BELOW 0
BKNG $188.84 +0.3% -0.4% -8.6% +2.4% BELOW 0
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $89.56 -0.5% +0.2% -4.5% -4.1% BELOW 1
MCD $271.79 -0.7% -2.7% -5.1% -3.0% BELOW 1
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $216.84 +1.1% +1.0% -2.0% +1.9% BELOW 0
UPS $114.20 +0.7% +0.7% -2.3% -5.0% BELOW 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $364.49 +2.5% +2.4% -2.3% -1.2% BELOW 0
HON $209.17 -0.3% -1.0% -4.0% +6.8% BELOW 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRWD $87.01 +1.9% -3.3% -5.4% +17.2% BELOW 0
PANW $170.58 +1.6% -2.8% -13.2% -5.3% BELOW 0
ZS $184.69 -1.0% +0.4% -7.0% +2.2% BELOW 2
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMAT $171.50 +1.6% -2.3% +2.5% -4.1% BELOW 0
ASML $726.77 +1.2% -2.8% +2.5% +9.5% ABOVE 0
LRCX $74.24 +0.8% -3.2% -1.6% +1.3% ABOVE 0
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $166.44 +1.1% -3.3% -6.0% -1.8% BELOW 0
EQIX $868.90 -0.2% -4.5% -6.9% -0.6% BELOW 3
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $65.00 +1.5% -3.5% -7.7% -13.6% BELOW 0
DUK $101.37 +0.7% +0.0% -1.8% -6.4% BELOW 0
SO $78.13 +0.2% +1.2% -1.4% -9.1% BELOW 0
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $147.15 +1.0% +4.9% +2.0% +6.5% ABOVE 0
XOM $104.43 +0.4% +0.9% -1.0% -5.3% BELOW 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $116.41 +1.5% +4.1% +1.5% -0.7% ABOVE 0
GD $256.40 +0.5% +2.1% +0.8% -9.1% BELOW 0
LMT $465.08 +0.3% +4.4% -2.1% -10.7% BELOW 0
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $20.40 +1.1% -0.6% -6.6% -2.1% BELOW 0
VZ $34.70 +0.4% +0.1% -7.9% -7.5% BELOW 0
TMUS $208.75 +0.3% +0.9% -7.7% -3.7% BELOW 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $106.12 +0.0% -2.9% -4.2% +12.9% BELOW 0
NFLX $82.84 -1.4% -5.8% -9.8% +9.6% BELOW 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $87.45 +1.2% +0.4% -0.9% +3.3% BELOW 0
AMGN $254.97 -1.1% +1.9% -1.3% -15.9% BELOW 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $296.25 +2.1% +7.6% -0.8% -0.2% BELOW 0
LIN $418.88 +1.4% +3.0% -1.8% -6.0% BELOW 0
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCHP $54.54 +1.7% -1.0% -5.1% -21.9% BELOW 0
TXN $185.26 +1.3% +0.7% +1.0% -4.8% BELOW 0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Eli Lilly (LLY) (Healthcare) fell 6.6% to $736.89. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) rose 4.0% to $128.71. United (UAL) (Airlines) rose 2.8% to $107.67. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) (Infrastructure) rose 2.5% to $21.74. Caterpillar (CAT) (Industrial) rose 2.5% to $364.49. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 2 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term breadth is mixed: 17 sectors up but only five sectors above their 50-day moving averages, and there are multiple active alerts including a HIGH on Enterprise Software and seven sectors declining more than 5% over 20 days. Market participants should treat the S&P 500 rally as uneven while watching 50-day trends for confirmation—rotate into Infrastructure, Airlines and Chip Supply Chain where 50-day participation is intact, and trim exposure to Enterprise Software and Healthcare until 50-day breadth stabilizes. Maintain disciplined hedges and size exposure to names that are sustaining above-50-day trends while monitoring the HIGH alert list for potential expansion of weakness.

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