US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Monday, January 13, 2025 MIXED

A risk-off tone dominated the US stock market as weakness in infrastructure technology names and chip suppliers set the early agenda, with Vertiv (VRT) -3.8% at $123.78, Dell (DELL) -4.0% at $107.40 and Super Micro (SMCI) -4.7% at $31.08 among the day's biggest decliners. The Infrastructure sector fell 2.6% on the session despite sitting slightly ABOVE its 50-day average (+0.9%), while Chip Supply Chain slipped 0.5% and TSMC (TSM) led losers at -3.4% to $197.66. Breadth was mixed across sectors (12 up, 10 down, 2 flat) but shallow: only 3 of 24 sectors remain above their 50-day moving averages as the S&P 500 traded cautiously. The Magnificent 7 were a soft spot overall, the Mag 7 basket declining 0.5% with NVIDIA (NVDA) down 2.0% to $133.03 and other mega-caps showing modest pullbacks.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Sell / Wait

4.79%

rising

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$78.82

+2.9% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

19.2

-1.8% 1D

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Strong Cash-Deploy Signal

25%

17 of 68 above 50DMA · -20.6pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Caution

0.75

Call-Heavy · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI/technology investment theme showed selective strain as the Mag 7's leadership cooled: NVIDIA (NVDA) $133.03 is off 2.0% today and remains 4.4% below its 50-day level, while Microsoft (MSFT) $412.30 sits below its 50-day at -3.4% despite modest intraday weakness. Pressure in the Chip Supply Chain and Chip Equipment groups, led by TSMC (TSM) $197.66 -3.4%, highlights near-term sensitivity to demand and inventory dynamics even as underlying AI infrastructure buildouts continue. Enterprise Software weakness (sector down 0.8% today and -11.9% over 20 days) underscores that software spend is uneven: infrastructure and hardware vendors face cyclical pain even as cloud and AI-tailored software opportunities persist.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	-0.5%	-4.3%	-4.0%	ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain	-0.5%	-5.4%	+1.4%	BELOW
Infrastructure	-2.6%	-7.5%	-4.9%	ABOVE
Enterprise Software	-0.8%	-7.2%	-11.9%	BELOW
Finance	+1.2%	-1.1%	-1.6%	BELOW
Healthcare	+1.8%	+4.8%	+3.4%	BELOW
Retail	-1.4%	+0.2%	-4.5%	BELOW
IT Services	-0.6%	-1.5%	-4.7%	BELOW
Airlines	-2.5%	+7.3%	+7.4%	ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel	+0.5%	-1.5%	-7.8%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	+0.9%	-1.3%	-4.4%	BELOW
Logistics	+1.4%	+0.4%	-3.1%	BELOW
Industrial	+1.8%	-0.8%	-4.3%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	-2.4%	-4.8%	-10.8%	BELOW
Chip Equipment	-0.8%	-4.5%	+0.5%	BELOW
Data Center REITs	-0.4%	-4.3%	-7.6%	BELOW
Utilities	+0.1%	-1.7%	-4.4%	BELOW
Energy	+2.0%	+3.5%	-0.9%	BELOW
Defense & Aerospace	+2.4%	+3.0%	-0.3%	BELOW
Telecom	+0.4%	-1.6%	-7.6%	BELOW
Media & Entertainment	-0.1%	-3.7%	-7.4%	BELOW
Biotech	+1.6%	+1.5%	-1.6%	BELOW
Materials	+2.4%	+4.3%	-3.1%	BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips	+0.9%	-2.3%	-4.7%	BELOW

Sector Strength

Defense & Aerospace +2.4% 20d: -0.3%

Lockheed Martin (LMT) +3.2% (20d: -2.7%) [<50MA], RTX Corp (RTX) +2.3% (20d: +1.5%) [<50MA], General Dynamics (GD) +1.7% (20d: +0.2%) [<50MA]

Materials +2.4% 20d: -3.1%

Air Products (APD) +3.0% (20d: -2.3%) [<50MA], Linde (LIN) +1.8% (20d: -3.9%) [<50MA]

Energy +2.0% 20d: -0.9%

Exxon Mobil (XOM) +2.6% (20d: -2.3%) [<50MA], Chevron (CVX) +1.4% (20d: +0.4%)

Industrial +1.8% 20d: -4.3%

Caterpillar (CAT) +3.3% (20d: -4.8%) [<50MA], Honeywell (HON) +0.4% (20d: -3.8%) [<50MA]

Healthcare +1.8% 20d: +3.4%

UnitedHealth (UNH) +3.9% (20d: +4.9%) [<50MA], Eli Lilly (LLY) -0.3% (20d: +1.9%)

Sector Warnings

Infrastructure -2.6% 20d: -4.9%

Super Micro (SMCI) -4.7% (20d: -18.1%) [<50MA], Dell (DELL) -4.0% (20d: -7.6%) [<50MA], Vertiv (VRT) -3.8% (20d: -0.8%)

Airlines -2.5% 20d: +7.4%

Delta (DAL) -2.8% (20d: +5.6%), United (UAL) -2.2% (20d: +9.1%)

Cybersecurity -2.4% 20d: -10.8% CRITICAL

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -3.2% (20d: -16.1%) [<50MA], CrowdStrike (CRWD) -2.1% (20d: -6.6%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) -1.8% (20d: -9.6%) [<50MA]

Retail -1.4% 20d: -4.5%

Walmart (WMT) -1.6% (20d: -2.5%), Costco (COST) -1.3% (20d: -6.4%) [<50MA]

Enterprise Software -0.8% 20d: -11.9% CRITICAL

Palantir (PLTR) -3.4% (20d: -11.2%) [<50MA], ServiceNow (NOW) -0.9% (20d: -11.6%) [<50MA], Salesforce (CRM) +0.4% (20d: -10.8%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Enterprise Software remains the clearest technical warning: the sector is down 0.8% today and has declined 11.9% over 20 days, triggering a HIGH alert. Palantir (PLTR) fell 3.4% to $64.98 and the group is struggling against a 50-day perspective that has begun to roll over, leaving the sector BELOW its 50-day average. The 20-day deterioration reflects discretionary IT spend trimming and re-rating risk for large enterprise names, and investors should watch 50-day trend confirmation before considering accumulation.

Infrastructure showed concentrated selling despite the sector remaining ABOVE its 50-day average (+0.9%). Vertiv (VRT) dropped 3.8% to $123.78, Dell (DELL) tumbled 4.0% to $107.40 and Super Micro (SMCI) plunged 4.7% to $31.08, collectively weighing on the group which lost 2.6% on the day. The 50-day context is mixed — short-term weakness inside a still-positive 50-day backdrop — signaling profit-taking by hardware-sensitive investors and raising the risk of a broader 50-day test if selling persists.

Chip Supply Chain is under pressure with a 0.5% decline today and notable weakness over shorter windows; TSMC (TSM) led losers at -3.4% to $197.66. The sector's 50-day posture is modestly positive (+2.7%) yet intra-period performance shows the group is vulnerable to demand shifts, mirrored by Chip Equipment down 0.8% and sitting BELOW its 50-day average (-1.2%). For AI-driven hardware exposure, the key is watching whether the 50-day support holds as orders and inventory signals arrive.

Healthcare and Defense bucked the downtrend with constructive moves: UnitedHealth (UNH) jumped 3.9% to $521.08, lifting the Healthcare sector 1.8% and the stock acting as a short-term outperformer inside a sector still BELOW its 50-day average (-4.6%). Lockheed Martin (LMT) rallied 3.2% to $463.83, helping Defense & Aerospace climb 2.4% despite the sector remaining well BELOW its 50-day (-8.8%). These pockets of strength suggest selective defensive rotation and provide higher-conviction names for risk-managed allocation while broader cyclical sectors test 50-day levels.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 3 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 21 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 20 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Enterprise Software down -11.9% over 20 days

HIGH Cybersecurity down -10.8% over 20 days

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -16.5% over 50 days

HIGH 6 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Enterprise Software, Hospitality & Travel, Cybersecurity, Data Center REITs, Telecom, Media & Entertainment

MEDIUM TSLA down -16.0% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TSLA	$403.31	+2.2%	-1.9%	-3.5%	+56.6%	ABOVE	0
AMZN	$218.46	-0.2%	-4.0%	-4.6%	+13.4%	ABOVE	2
MSFT	$412.30	-0.4%	-2.5%	-7.2%	-3.4%	BELOW	2
GOOG	$191.29	-0.5%	-2.9%	-0.7%	+9.3%	ABOVE	4
AAPL	$232.91	-1.0%	-4.3%	-5.5%	+2.0%	BELOW	2
META	$605.34	-1.2%	-3.5%	-3.5%	+2.9%	ABOVE	1
NVDA	$133.03	-2.0%	-10.8%	-3.0%	-4.4%	BELOW	4

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMD	$117.32	+1.1%	-9.4%	-10.2%	-21.0%	BELOW	0
MRVL	$114.68	+0.7%	-3.2%	+5.7%	+39.1%	ABOVE	0
AVGO	$222.45	+0.4%	-4.7%	+25.0%	+27.9%	ABOVE	0
INTC	$19.20	+0.3%	-3.4%	-7.6%	-13.9%	BELOW	0
QCOM	$152.15	+0.1%	-1.7%	-0.7%	-5.8%	BELOW	0
ARM	$137.07	-2.4%	-7.0%	-7.4%	-11.2%	BELOW	2
TSM	$197.66	-3.4%	-8.5%	+5.2%	+3.9%	ABOVE	1

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CSCO	$56.84	+0.0%	-0.0%	+0.5%	+6.4%	ABOVE	0
HPE	$21.20	-0.5%	-3.8%	+1.3%	+8.7%	ABOVE	1
VRT	$123.78	-3.8%	-7.5%	-0.8%	+10.3%	ABOVE	4
DELL	$107.40	-4.0%	-11.6%	-7.6%	-14.9%	BELOW	4
SMCI	$31.08	-4.7%	-14.7%	-18.1%	-6.0%	BELOW	4

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ADBE	$408.50	+0.6%	-5.3%	-13.9%	-16.1%	BELOW	0
CRM	$315.40	+0.4%	-3.5%	-10.8%	+7.8%	BELOW	0
NOW	$203.15	-0.9%	-5.7%	-11.6%	+6.9%	BELOW	4
PLTR	$64.98	-3.4%	-14.4%	-11.2%	+48.7%	BELOW	5

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
JPM	$237.02	+1.8%	+1.4%	+1.6%	+9.4%	ABOVE	0
GS	$546.39	+0.5%	-3.5%	-4.8%	+7.9%	BELOW	0

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UNH	$521.08	+3.9%	+5.3%	+4.9%	-3.5%	BELOW	0
LLY	$788.90	-0.3%	+4.2%	+1.9%	-5.7%	ABOVE	1

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
COST	$917.31	-1.3%	+0.2%	-6.4%	+5.3%	BELOW	1
WMT	$90.30	-1.6%	+0.1%	-2.5%	+12.7%	ABOVE	1

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ACN	$337.28	-0.2%	-0.6%	-3.1%	+0.7%	BELOW	2
IBM	$209.18	-1.1%	-2.4%	-6.4%	+6.9%	BELOW	3

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UAL	$104.71	-2.2%	+6.2%	+9.1%	+30.2%	ABOVE	1
DAL	$63.83	-2.8%	+8.4%	+5.6%	+11.4%	ABOVE	1

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MAR	$268.61	+0.6%	-0.1%	-6.1%	+3.3%	BELOW	0
BKNG	$188.25	+0.5%	-3.0%	-9.6%	+6.9%	BELOW	0

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SBUX	$89.98	+1.4%	+0.4%	-4.4%	-3.3%	BELOW	0
MCD	$273.77	+0.5%	-2.9%	-4.4%	-2.1%	BELOW	0

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
FDX	$214.47	+1.4%	+0.2%	-3.2%	+0.7%	BELOW	0
UPS	$113.45	+1.4%	+0.6%	-3.1%	-5.4%	BELOW	0

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$355.60	+3.3%	-0.5%	-4.8%	-4.4%	BELOW	0
HON	$209.75	+0.4%	-1.2%	-3.8%	+7.8%	BELOW	0

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ZS	$186.49	-1.8%	-1.2%	-9.6%	-0.2%	BELOW	1
CRWD	$85.36	-2.1%	-6.8%	-6.6%	+11.1%	BELOW	4
PANW	$167.82	-3.2%	-6.5%	-16.1%	-6.6%	BELOW	1

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LRCX	$73.63	-0.3%	-4.5%	-1.5%	-2.3%	BELOW	4
AMAT	$168.75	-0.5%	-3.7%	+1.1%	-7.6%	BELOW	3
ASML	$718.01	-1.6%	-5.3%	+2.0%	+6.4%	ABOVE	4

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
EQIX	$870.41	-0.0%	-4.3%	-7.8%	-0.7%	BELOW	2
DLR	$164.55	-0.8%	-4.3%	-7.5%	-5.0%	BELOW	2

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SO	$77.96	+0.7%	+1.1%	-1.8%	-7.6%	BELOW	0
DUK	$100.70	+0.3%	-0.2%	-2.8%	-6.0%	BELOW	0
NEE	$64.03	-0.6%	-6.0%	-8.5%	-14.8%	BELOW	2

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
XOM	$104.02	+2.6%	+1.4%	-2.3%	-5.6%	BELOW	0
CVX	$145.69	+1.4%	+5.5%	+0.4%	+6.0%	ABOVE	0

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
LMT	$463.83	+3.2%	+3.7%	-2.7%	-10.9%	BELOW
RTX	$114.72	+2.3%	+3.2%	+1.5%	-2.9%	BELOW
GD	$255.00	+1.7%	+2.2%	+0.2%	-12.5%	BELOW

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TMUS	$208.05	+1.0%	+0.5%	-8.5%	-3.8%	BELOW	0
VZ	$34.56	+0.8%	-2.1%	-7.8%	-6.0%	BELOW	0
T	$20.17	-0.6%	-3.4%	-6.5%	-0.8%	BELOW	6

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NFLX	$84.03	+0.3%	-4.7%	-9.2%	+11.5%	BELOW	0
DIS	$106.08	-0.5%	-2.7%	-5.5%	+14.2%	BELOW	3

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMGN	$257.92	+3.0%	+4.5%	-1.4%	-13.7%	BELOW	0
GILD	$86.43	+0.1%	-1.4%	-1.8%	+2.7%	BELOW	0

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
APD	$290.27	+3.0%	+6.5%	-2.3%	-2.9%	BELOW	0
LIN	$413.13	+1.8%	+2.1%	-3.9%	-10.7%	BELOW	0

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCHP	$53.61	+1.3%	-4.1%	-9.1%	-25.5%	BELOW	0
TXN	$182.95	+0.5%	-0.6%	-0.3%	-7.5%	BELOW	0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 4.7% to $31.08. Dell (DELL) (Infrastructure) fell 4.0% to $107.40. UnitedHealth (UNH) (Healthcare) rose 3.9% to $521.08. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 3.8% to $123.78. Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) fell 3.4% to $64.98. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 4 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term market risk is elevated: 21 of 24 sectors sit below their 50-day moving averages and there are multiple HIGH alerts (Enterprise Software, Cybersecurity, Analog & Embedded Chips plus six sectors down >5% over 20 days). Breadth metrics — only three sectors above the 50MA — argue for defensive positioning and tighter risk controls, especially given the 50-day trend roll in key technology verticals. Positioning should favor high-quality defensives and selective winners (healthcare, defense) while using rallies to reduce exposure in cyclical hardware and vulnerable enterprise software names until 50-day confirmations improve.

← 2025-01-10

Calendar

2025-01-14 →