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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, March 31, 2026 BULLISH

The US stock market experiences a significant rally today, fueled by optimism surrounding a potential easing of the Iran conflict. The S&P 500 surged as 20 out of 24 sectors advanced, with notable gains in the Airlines sector, where United (UAL) rose by 8.1%, reflecting market sentiment. Additionally, the Chip Supply Chain sector saw a remarkable increase of 6.8%, driven by Marvell (MRVL) which jumped 12.8%. However, the Magnificent 7 continue to face challenges, collectively up 4.5% yet struggling with a 50-day trend down 7.8%.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.44%
rising
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Alert (Surging)
$102.07
-0.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Elevated Caution
25.2
-17.5% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Clearly Bearish
3/3 below
SPY below (-1.2%), QQQ below (-2.7%), DIA below (-0.1%)
Impact
Confidence
CNN Fear & Greed Index
Buy-Prep Signal Active
15
Extreme Fear (+6)
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

Today's Market Events

Key Headlines

  • Stock Market Today, March 31: Stocks Rally on Hopes of Easing Iran Conflict Yahoo
  • Update: US Equity Indexes Surge, Crude Oil Slips Amid Iran War Optimism Yahoo
  • ARM Holdings (ARM) Should Arm’s AGI Chip Have NVIDIA Investors in a Panic? Yahoo
  • Qualcomm: The Cracks Are Widening And Broadening (Downgrade) SeekingAlpha
  • Super Micro (SMCI) Super Micro Slides 65% as Indictment Drives Investor Exit Yahoo
  • Super Micro (SMCI) Super Micro Computer: It Deserves To Be Cheap SeekingAlpha
  • Top S&P500 movers in Tuesday's session ChartMill
  • Airlines face price hikes, lower margins as Iran war pressures business Yahoo

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI and technology investment theme remains under pressure despite the broader market rally. The Magnificent 7, including NVIDIA (NVDA) at $174.40 and Meta (META) at $572.13, showed positive movement today but continue to reflect a downward trend over the past 50 days. Meanwhile, the Chip Supply Chain is benefiting from heightened demand, as evidenced by ARM Holdings (ARM) rising to $151.28, suggesting a shift towards infrastructure investment in the tech sector.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +4.5% -1.7% -7.0% BELOW
Chip Supply Chain +6.8% -3.4% +4.4% BELOW
Infrastructure +4.2% -7.6% -2.5% ABOVE
Enterprise Software +1.9% +0.2% -6.8% BELOW
Finance +4.2% +0.0% -2.1% BELOW
Healthcare +3.5% +0.2% -7.5% BELOW
Retail +0.3% +1.6% -1.9% ABOVE
IT Services +1.3% +1.8% -4.3% BELOW
Airlines +6.6% -1.6% -2.1% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel +2.3% -0.3% -1.7% BELOW
Food & Restaurant +2.0% -1.8% -7.0% BELOW
Logistics +3.9% -0.2% -8.9% BELOW
Industrial +3.6% -0.7% -5.7% BELOW
Cybersecurity +2.9% +2.1% -4.4% BELOW
Chip Equipment +3.0% -8.8% -5.5% BELOW
Data Center REITs +2.3% +1.8% -0.1% ABOVE
Utilities -0.0% +2.0% -0.5% ABOVE
Energy -1.4% +2.4% +12.2% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace +1.6% -2.3% -7.6% BELOW
Telecom -0.4% -0.1% -2.1% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment +2.8% +2.3% -4.5% BELOW
Biotech +1.5% +0.1% -6.6% BELOW
Materials -0.5% +0.4% +2.6% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips +5.9% -1.1% -5.8% BELOW

Sector Strength

Chip Supply Chain +6.8% 20d: +4.4%
Marvell (MRVL) +12.8% (20d: +26.8%), ARM Holdings (ARM) +10.5% (20d: +21.9%), Intel (INTC) +7.1% (20d: -3.2%) [<50MA]
Airlines +6.6% 20d: -2.1%
United (UAL) +8.1% (20d: -8.4%) [<50MA], Delta (DAL) +5.2% (20d: +4.2%)
Analog & Embedded Chips +5.9% 20d: -5.8%
Microchip Technology (MCHP) +7.6% (20d: -7.6%) [<50MA], Texas Instruments (TXN) +4.1% (20d: -4.1%) [<50MA]
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +4.5% 20d: -7.0%
Meta (META) +6.7% (20d: -14.3%) [<50MA], NVIDIA (NVDA) +5.6% (20d: -4.7%) [<50MA], Alphabet (GOOG) +5.0% (20d: -5.4%) [<50MA]
Finance +4.2% 20d: -2.1%
Goldman Sachs (GS) +4.8% (20d: -2.5%) [<50MA], JPMorgan (JPM) +3.7% (20d: -1.7%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Energy -1.4% 20d: +12.2%
Chevron (CVX) -1.8% (20d: +11.2%), Exxon Mobil (XOM) -1.1% (20d: +13.2%)
Materials -0.5% 20d: +2.6%
Linde (LIN) -0.7% (20d: -0.7%), Air Products (APD) -0.4% (20d: +5.9%)
Telecom -0.4% 20d: -2.1%
T-Mobile (TMUS) -1.8% (20d: -4.4%), Verizon (VZ) -0.2% (20d: -2.0%), AT&T (T) +0.7% (20d: +0.0%)

Sector Deep Dive

The Chip Supply Chain sector has experienced a resurgence today, gaining 6.8%. Marvell (MRVL) led the charge with a notable increase of 12.8%, reaching $99.05, as investors reacted positively to supply chain improvements. However, despite this uptick, the sector remains below its 50-day moving average, indicating ongoing volatility and potential headwinds in the longer term as companies grapple with supply constraints.

In the Airlines sector, optimism surrounding the easing Iran conflict propelled stocks higher, with United (UAL) rising 8.1% to $92.07. This sector's recent performance has shown resilience, albeit still contending with pressures on margins due to fluctuating fuel prices. The 50-day trend indicates a significant challenge, as the sector remains down 8.2%, highlighting the volatility and uncertainty facing airline operators.

The Infrastructure sector gained 4.2% today, bolstered by Super Micro (SMCI) which saw an 8.1% increase to $22.77. This reflects a broader market trend towards infrastructure investment, although the sector is still grappling with a 50-day average decline of 17.2%. This sector's potential remains strong, yet the recent indictment of Super Micro raises questions about the durability of its growth trajectory.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 7 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 17 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 21 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Enterprise Software down -15.3% over 50 days
HIGH Healthcare down -15.8% over 50 days
HIGH IT Services down -21.8% over 50 days
HIGH Cybersecurity down -18.9% over 50 days
HIGH 10 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Enterprise Software, Healthcare, Food & Restaurant, Logistics, Industrial, Chip Equipment, Defense & Aerospace, Biotech, Analog & Embedded Chips
HIGH 4 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Enterprise Software, Healthcare, IT Services, Cybersecurity

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
META $572.13 +6.7% -3.8% -14.3% BELOW 0
NVDA $174.40 +5.6% -2.4% -4.7% BELOW 0
GOOG $286.86 +5.0% -0.9% -5.4% BELOW 0
TSLA $371.75 +4.6% -3.7% -8.4% BELOW 0
AMZN $208.27 +3.6% -1.6% -3.9% BELOW 0
MSFT $370.17 +3.1% -0.2% -8.6% BELOW 0
AAPL $253.79 +2.9% +0.5% -3.3% BELOW 0
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
MRVL $99.05 +12.8% +0.6% +26.8% ABOVE 0
ARM $151.28 +10.5% -3.7% +21.9% ABOVE 0
INTC $44.13 +7.1% -6.5% -3.2% BELOW 0
TSM $337.95 +6.8% -2.8% -5.5% BELOW 0
AVGO $309.51 +5.5% -2.9% -2.5% BELOW 0
AMD $203.43 +3.8% -7.6% +0.7% BELOW 0
QCOM $128.78 +1.3% -1.2% -7.1% BELOW 0
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
SMCI $22.77 +8.1% -5.3% -30.3% BELOW 0
VRT $250.58 +7.0% -9.3% -0.3% ABOVE 0
HPE $23.81 +5.3% -7.6% +10.5% ABOVE 0
CSCO $77.59 +0.7% -5.2% -4.1% BELOW 0
DELL $164.13 -0.3% -10.8% +11.6% ABOVE 4
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $146.28 +6.3% -5.6% -4.5% BELOW 0
CRM $186.67 +0.9% +2.6% -3.3% BELOW 0
ADBE $243.08 +0.8% +2.5% -11.0% BELOW 0
NOW $104.55 -0.4% +1.4% -8.2% BELOW 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $845.99 +4.8% +0.5% -2.5% BELOW 0
JPM $294.16 +3.7% -0.4% -1.7% BELOW 0
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $919.77 +3.7% +0.4% -8.4% BELOW 0
UNH $270.59 +3.4% +0.0% -6.6% BELOW 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $124.28 +0.6% +1.0% -2.8% ABOVE 0
COST $996.43 -0.0% +2.2% -1.0% ABOVE 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $242.39 +2.2% +0.4% -3.1% BELOW 0
ACN $198.29 +0.4% +3.1% -5.6% BELOW 0
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $92.07 +8.1% -0.9% -8.4% BELOW 0
DAL $66.48 +5.2% -2.2% +4.2% ABOVE 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $327.07 +2.4% +0.1% -2.6% BELOW 0
BKNG $4210.32 +2.3% -0.6% -0.8% BELOW 0
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $89.59 +3.3% -3.4% -7.8% BELOW 0
MCD $310.79 +0.7% -0.3% -6.3% BELOW 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $356.18 +4.2% -0.4% -6.9% ABOVE 0
UPS $98.38 +3.6% +0.0% -11.0% BELOW 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $708.46 +6.1% -1.5% -3.2% ABOVE 0
HON $226.03 +1.1% +0.1% -8.1% BELOW 0
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $160.32 +3.9% +4.6% +1.1% BELOW 0
CRWD $390.41 +2.7% +1.2% -4.2% BELOW 0
ZS $140.29 +2.2% +0.6% -10.2% BELOW 0
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $213.66 +6.9% -8.5% -4.2% BELOW 0
AMAT $341.79 +5.8% -7.5% -4.5% BELOW 0
ASML $1253.96 -3.7% -10.4% -7.9% BELOW 4
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $180.21 +2.9% +2.1% -1.3% ABOVE 0
EQIX $980.24 +1.7% +1.5% +1.2% ABOVE 0
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $92.88 +0.9% +1.9% +0.3% ABOVE 0
SO $96.52 -0.4% +2.0% -1.1% ABOVE 1
DUK $130.94 -0.6% +2.2% -0.7% ABOVE 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $169.66 -1.1% +3.9% +13.2% ABOVE 1
CVX $206.90 -1.8% +0.9% +11.2% ABOVE 2
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $192.90 +3.1% -1.1% -7.6% BELOW 0
LMT $604.39 +1.0% -3.2% -9.0% BELOW 0
GD $343.22 +0.7% -2.6% -6.3% BELOW 0
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
T $28.99 +0.7% +0.6% +0.0% ABOVE 0
VZ $50.20 -0.2% -0.3% -2.0% ABOVE 3
TMUS $210.03 -1.8% -0.6% -4.4% ABOVE 1
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $96.15 +3.4% +4.2% -2.5% ABOVE 0
DIS $96.38 +2.2% +0.4% -6.5% BELOW 0
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $139.37 +2.2% +0.8% -6.0% BELOW 0
AMGN $351.85 +0.8% -0.6% -7.2% BELOW 0
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $290.49 -0.4% +0.1% +5.9% ABOVE 3
LIN $495.76 -0.7% +0.7% -0.7% ABOVE 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA Down Days
MCHP $64.61 +7.6% -0.8% -7.6% BELOW 0
TXN $194.14 +4.1% -1.3% -4.1% BELOW 0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 12.8% to $99.05. ARM Holdings (ARM) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 10.5% to $151.28. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) rose 8.1% to $22.77. United (UAL) (Airlines) rose 8.1% to $92.07. Microchip Technology (MCHP) (Analog & Embedded Chips) rose 7.6% to $64.61. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 6 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Looking ahead, the market's rally appears to be fueled by short-term optimism, but breadth metrics indicate that 17 sectors remain below their 50-day moving averages, creating caution among investors. Active alerts signal significant declines in key sectors, including Enterprise Software and Cybersecurity, which are down 15.3% and 18.9%, respectively, over the past 50 days. Investors should consider positioning defensively as the market navigates these challenges.

Hypothetical Portfolio

SIMULATION
Value $102,248
P&L +2.25%
Today +3.23%
View full portfolio → Simulation only. Not investment advice.
← 2026-03-30
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