US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Wednesday, March 25, 2026 BULLISH

A wave of geopolitics and idiosyncratic headlines set the tone for the US stock market today as hopes and doubts over an Iran war deal pressured futures while AI and chip-related names powered gains. The Chip Supply Chain led sector performance, up 5.7% on the day with ARM Holdings (ARM) jumping 16.4% to $157.07 and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) climbing 7.3% to $220.27, while Infrastructure rose 4.6% led by Super Micro (SMCI) which rallied 8.2% to $24.05 after legal headlines intensified attention. The S&P 500 breadth showed 15 sectors up, 7 down and 2 flat, but only 8 sectors remain above their 50-day moving averages as the Magnificent 7 collectively trade below their 50-day lines. Market participants rotated into chip supply and select infrastructure names even as broader leadership remains narrow.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.33%

stable

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Elevated

$90.32

-2.2% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Elevated Caution

25.3

-6.0% 1D

Impact

Confidence

200-Day Moving Average

Mixed Signals

2/3 below

SPY below (-0.1%), QQQ below (-0.7%), DIA above (+0.2%)

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Add Cash

41%

28 of 68 above 50DMA · +2.9pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Normal Range

0.87

Balanced · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI-driven flows continued to favor chip supply and selected hardware plays while the Magnificent 7 broadly sit below their 50-day trend, keeping sentiment bifurcated. NVIDIA (NVDA) traded at $178.47 (+2.0%) and remains 50-day below by 3.8%, while Microsoft (MSFT) at $370.24 (-0.5%) sits 21.0% below its 50-day, highlighting uneven leadership between core cloud AI spenders and peripheral beneficiaries. Strength in ARM Holdings (ARM) $157.07 and AMD $220.27 underscores the chip equipment and supply chain upside as infrastructure and data center builds remain a practical lever for AI deployment, even as enterprise software and cybersecurity give back ground.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	+0.8%	-1.1%	-5.3%	BELOW
Chip Supply Chain	+5.7%	+6.0%	+5.7%	ABOVE
Infrastructure	+4.6%	+3.9%	+12.4%	ABOVE
Enterprise Software	-0.7%	-4.9%	-2.2%	BELOW
Finance	+0.9%	+3.3%	-6.2%	BELOW
Healthcare	+0.4%	-1.8%	-7.6%	BELOW
Retail	+0.5%	+0.9%	-1.0%	BELOW
IT Services	-0.2%	-4.6%	-3.8%	BELOW
Airlines	+0.7%	+1.7%	-11.9%	BELOW
Hospitality & Travel	-0.2%	-0.4%	-3.4%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	+1.0%	-1.3%	-5.9%	BELOW
Logistics	-0.4%	+1.1%	-11.5%	BELOW
Industrial	+1.1%	+1.5%	-5.2%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	-1.4%	-10.0%	-4.3%	BELOW
Chip Equipment	-1.3%	+1.7%	-2.9%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	+0.6%	-1.4%	+1.3%	ABOVE
Utilities	+0.3%	-1.4%	-1.0%	ABOVE
Energy	-1.0%	+2.5%	+10.7%	ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace	+1.5%	-1.4%	-1.0%	BELOW
Telecom	-0.4%	+2.7%	+2.5%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	+0.5%	-1.3%	-0.0%	BELOW
Biotech	+0.8%	-0.4%	-5.0%	BELOW
Materials	+2.0%	+1.3%	+2.1%	ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips	+0.2%	+3.7%	-10.3%	BELOW

Sector Strength

Chip Supply Chain +5.7% 20d: +5.7%

ARM Holdings (ARM) +16.4% (20d: +21.5%), AMD +7.3% (20d: +8.1%), Intel (INTC) +7.1% (20d: +3.8%)

Infrastructure +4.6% 20d: +12.4%

Super Micro (SMCI) +8.2% (20d: -25.5%) [<50MA], Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) +7.9% (20d: +24.5%), Dell (DELL) +4.0% (20d: +51.5%)

Materials +2.0% 20d: +2.1%

Linde (LIN) +2.6% (20d: -0.9%), Air Products (APD) +1.3% (20d: +5.0%)

Defense & Aerospace +1.5% 20d: -1.0%

Lockheed Martin (LMT) +2.3% (20d: -2.2%) [<50MA], General Dynamics (GD) +1.8% (20d: +0.5%) [<50MA], RTX Corp (RTX) +0.5% (20d: -1.3%) [<50MA]

Industrial +1.1% 20d: -5.2%

Honeywell (HON) +1.9% (20d: -5.8%) [<50MA], Caterpillar (CAT) +0.3% (20d: -4.5%)

Sector Warnings

Cybersecurity -1.4% 20d: -4.3%

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -2.5% (20d: +2.6%) [<50MA], CrowdStrike (CRWD) -1.8% (20d: +1.2%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) +0.0% (20d: -16.7%) [<50MA]

Chip Equipment -1.3% 20d: -2.9%

Lam Research (LRCX) -2.3% (20d: -2.2%), Applied Materials (AMAT) -1.2% (20d: -1.7%), ASML -0.4% (20d: -4.8%) [<50MA]

Energy -1.0% 20d: +10.7%

Exxon Mobil (XOM) -1.3% (20d: +9.9%), Chevron (CVX) -0.8% (20d: +11.4%)

Enterprise Software -0.7% 20d: -2.2%

ServiceNow (NOW) -1.5% (20d: -5.7%) [<50MA], Adobe (ADBE) -0.7% (20d: -8.4%) [<50MA], Salesforce (CRM) -0.6% (20d: -8.8%) [<50MA]

Telecom -0.4% 20d: +2.5%

Verizon (VZ) -1.1% (20d: +3.0%), AT&T (T) -0.2% (20d: +4.9%), T-Mobile (TMUS) +0.0% (20d: -0.4%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain moved decisively today, posting a 1-day gain of 5.7% and outpacing most groups over the 50-day window which is also above trend by 5.5%. ARM Holdings (ARM) led with a 16.4% surge to $157.07; ARM is now trading comfortably above its 50-day context after the pop. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) rallied 7.3% to $220.27 and now sits above its 50-day trend, while Intel (INTC) climbed 7.1% to $47.18, both reflecting rotation into suppliers and IP plays tied to AI hardware buildouts over the last 50 days.

Infrastructure showed broad strength, gaining 4.6% on the day and remaining 24.7% above its 50-day moving average — a notable relative outperformer in the current market. Super Micro (SMCI) jumped 8.2% to $24.05 amid legal scrutiny that increased trading interest, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) added 7.9% to $25.70, both stocks trading well above their 50-day context as buyers favor capex and data center-facing names tied to AI deployments.

Enterprise Software continued to lag, down 0.7% on the day and deeply negative over the 50-day horizon at -21.7% versus its 50-day moving average, signaling persistent outflows from software names. ServiceNow (NOW) fell 1.5% to $103.06 and sits well below its 50-day trend, a pattern mirrored by sector peers as buyers favor infrastructure and chips over multiple-expansion in software. The 50-day pressure suggests caution for long exposure until dispersion narrows and relative strength reappears in the group.

Energy and cyclical groups showed mixed leadership with Energy down 1.0% today but remaining 28.1% above its 50-day moving average, reflecting sector-specific resilience despite headline-driven risk-off. Exxon Mobil (XOM) slipped 1.3% to $162.16 on the day yet remains comfortably above the 50-day line, underscoring how commodity dynamics and macro flow continue to separate winners from the broader, technology-led rotation.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 8 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 16 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 18 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Airlines down -11.9% over 20 days

HIGH Logistics down -11.5% over 20 days

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -10.3% over 20 days

HIGH Enterprise Software down -21.7% over 50 days

HIGH Healthcare down -16.6% over 50 days

HIGH IT Services down -25.2% over 50 days

HIGH Cybersecurity down -24.3% over 50 days

HIGH 8 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Finance, Healthcare, Airlines, Food & Restaurant, Logistics, Industrial, Analog & Embedded Chips

HIGH 6 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Enterprise Software, Healthcare, IT Services, Airlines, Cybersecurity

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMZN	$211.71	+2.2%	+1.4%	+1.8%	-12.7%	BELOW	0
NVDA	$178.47	+2.0%	+0.1%	-3.4%	-3.8%	BELOW	0
TSLA	$385.95	+0.8%	+1.5%	-5.5%	-13.7%	BELOW	0
AAPL	$252.39	+0.4%	+1.5%	-7.4%	-3.1%	BELOW	0
META	$594.34	+0.3%	-1.9%	-9.4%	-5.7%	BELOW	0
GOOG	$289.42	+0.1%	-5.3%	-5.7%	-13.9%	BELOW	0
MSFT	$370.24	-0.5%	-4.6%	-7.6%	-21.0%	BELOW	2

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
ARM	$157.07	+16.4%	+21.0%	+21.5%	+45.7%	ABOVE
AMD	$220.27	+7.3%	+7.3%	+8.1%	-0.3%	ABOVE
INTC	$47.18	+7.1%	+2.2%	+3.8%	-0.2%	ABOVE
MRVL	$98.38	+6.6%	+10.0%	+24.2%	+18.5%	ABOVE
TSM	$346.94	+1.3%	+2.6%	-7.5%	+5.3%	ABOVE
QCOM	$129.87	+1.3%	-0.7%	-9.9%	-20.6%	BELOW
AVGO	$318.31	+0.2%	-0.1%	-0.7%	-9.9%	BELOW

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
SMCI	$24.05	+8.2%	-21.9%	-25.5%	-15.9%	BELOW
HPE	$25.70	+7.9%	+17.3%	+24.5%	+16.4%	ABOVE
DELL	$183.44	+4.0%	+17.4%	+51.5%	+54.5%	ABOVE
VRT	$276.10	+1.9%	+2.6%	+6.6%	+59.9%	ABOVE
CSCO	$81.09	+1.2%	+4.2%	+4.8%	+8.4%	ABOVE

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PLTR	$154.96	+0.1%	-0.5%	+14.0%	-13.4%	ABOVE	0
CRM	$181.04	-0.6%	-6.7%	-8.8%	-24.5%	BELOW	3
ADBE	$237.25	-0.7%	-3.6%	-8.4%	-23.5%	BELOW	3
NOW	$103.06	-1.5%	-9.0%	-5.7%	-25.4%	BELOW	2

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
JPM	$292.60	+1.0%	+2.6%	-3.5%	-5.0%	BELOW	0
GS	$838.15	+0.7%	+4.0%	-8.9%	-9.8%	BELOW	0

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LLY	$914.74	+1.5%	-0.1%	-10.3%	-14.8%	BELOW	0
UNH	$269.01	-0.6%	-3.5%	-4.9%	-18.4%	BELOW	1

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
WMT	$122.83	+0.8%	+1.8%	-0.9%	+2.5%	BELOW	0
COST	$973.45	+0.1%	+0.0%	-1.2%	+3.6%	BELOW	0

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
IBM	$239.63	+0.3%	-3.6%	-0.3%	-19.9%	BELOW	0
ACN	$188.41	-0.6%	-5.5%	-7.3%	-30.5%	BELOW	2

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DAL	$67.64	+2.0%	+4.6%	-3.6%	-1.7%	ABOVE	0
UAL	$92.95	-0.7%	-1.3%	-20.2%	-18.8%	BELOW	2

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MAR	$326.15	+0.8%	+0.6%	-6.8%	+1.4%	BELOW	0
BKNG	$169.08	-1.2%	-1.3%	-0.1%	-20.1%	BELOW	2

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCD	$309.60	+1.3%	+0.7%	-6.3%	+1.3%	BELOW	0
SBUX	$92.16	+0.8%	-3.3%	-5.5%	+3.0%	BELOW	0

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UPS	$96.74	-0.1%	+1.9%	-15.7%	-6.4%	BELOW	1
FDX	$287.01	-0.7%	+0.4%	-7.4%	+15.9%	ABOVE	1

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
HON	$235.51	+1.9%	-1.4%	-5.8%	+7.9%	BELOW	0
CAT	$717.67	+0.3%	+4.4%	-4.5%	+13.2%	ABOVE	0

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ZS	$139.44	+0.0%	-10.3%	-16.7%	-35.7%	BELOW	0
CRWD	$96.46	-1.8%	-9.9%	+1.2%	-17.6%	BELOW	2
PANW	$153.22	-2.5%	-9.7%	+2.6%	-19.7%	BELOW	2

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ASML	$1390.85	-0.4%	+2.0%	-4.8%	+9.9%	BELOW	1
AMAT	$368.88	-1.2%	+3.4%	-1.7%	+21.3%	ABOVE	1
LRCX	$233.29	-2.3%	-0.2%	-2.2%	+9.0%	ABOVE	1

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DLR	$175.26	+1.0%	-1.9%	+0.7%	+10.5%	ABOVE	0
EQIX	$961.20	+0.1%	-0.9%	+1.9%	+21.2%	ABOVE	0

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SO	$93.83	+0.7%	-1.7%	-1.8%	+8.9%	ABOVE	0
DUK	$127.06	+0.6%	-1.2%	-0.8%	+10.1%	ABOVE	0
NEE	$90.50	-0.5%	-1.4%	-0.2%	+12.4%	ABOVE	1

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CVX	$203.29	-0.8%	+1.8%	+11.4%	+26.4%	ABOVE	1
XOM	$162.16	-1.3%	+3.2%	+9.9%	+29.9%	ABOVE	1

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
LMT	$620.14	+2.3%	-2.1%	-2.2%	+12.4%	BELOW
GD	$349.33	+1.8%	+0.8%	+0.5%	-2.6%	BELOW
RTX	$194.19	+0.5%	-2.9%	-1.3%	+0.8%	BELOW

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TMUS	$210.22	+0.0%	+2.3%	-0.4%	+12.0%	ABOVE	0
T	$28.13	-0.2%	+3.9%	+4.9%	+23.6%	ABOVE	1
VZ	$48.79	-1.1%	+1.8%	+3.0%	+29.1%	ABOVE	1

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NFLX	$92.28	+1.5%	+0.6%	+9.1%	+2.2%	ABOVE	0
DIS	$95.22	-0.5%	-3.3%	-9.1%	-15.1%	BELOW	3

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMGN	$351.28	+1.6%	+1.1%	-6.7%	+9.9%	BELOW	0
GILD	$137.36	+0.1%	-2.0%	-3.3%	+14.2%	BELOW	0

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LIN	$490.79	+2.6%	+0.5%	-0.9%	+11.5%	ABOVE	0
APD	$286.50	+1.3%	+2.1%	+5.0%	+9.0%	ABOVE	0

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TXN	$195.78	+1.1%	+4.5%	-7.5%	+5.1%	BELOW	0
MCHP	$64.83	-0.7%	+3.0%	-13.1%	-11.5%	BELOW	1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: ARM Holdings (ARM) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 16.4% to $157.07. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) rose 8.2% to $24.05. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) (Infrastructure) rose 7.9% to $25.70. AMD (Chip Supply Chain) rose 7.3% to $220.27. Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 7.1% to $47.18. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 9 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Looking forward, market positioning should respect the clear bifurcation: 8 sectors above the 50-day and 16 below, with 8 sectors showing >5% declines over 20 days and six sectors in a >10% drawdown over 50 days per active alerts. Breadth metrics — 15 sectors up vs. 7 down today — indicate episodic risk-on flows concentrated in chip supply and infrastructure while the S&P 500 leadership remains narrow among the Magnificent 7 below their 50-day averages. Tactical positioning: favor selective exposure to chip supply and infrastructure beneficiaries on strength, maintain risk controls for enterprise software, cybersecurity and IT services which remain structurally weak over the 50-day frame.

Hypothetical Portfolio

SIMULATION

Value $103,317

P&L +3.32%

Today +1.34%

View full portfolio → Simulation only. Not investment advice.

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