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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Monday, March 02, 2026 MIXED

Geopolitical risk set the tone today as Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures slid while investors weighed the potential fallout from conflict in the Middle East; that dynamic propelled Defense & Aerospace higher, with RTX Corp (RTX) rising 4.7% and Lockheed Martin (LMT) up 3.4%. Despite the headline risk, only 8 sectors finished up versus 13 down, and 14 of 24 sectors remain above their 50-day moving averages, reflecting uneven positioning across the market. The Magnificent 7 group was mixed: NVIDIA (NVDA) climbed 3.0% to $182.26 while Amazon (AMZN) lagged, underscoring concentration and continued dispersion within the S&P 500. Energy and Infrastructure outperformed intraday, while Airlines and Hospitality & Travel led decliners on demand worries tied to the newsflow.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.05%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$71.23
+6.3% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Elevated Caution
21.4
+8.0% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+5.2%), QQQ above (+3.7%), DIA above (+6.4%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Healthy Uptrend
57%
39 of 68 above 50DMA · +2.9pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.81
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme remains bifurcated: Mag 7 leaders are providing headline support — NVIDIA (NVDA) $182.26 is up 3.0% today — but the Mag 7 cohort overall is still below its 50-day trend, signaling a pause in momentum. Chip supply chain names are under pressure, with the Chip Supply Chain sector trading below its 50-day level even as Chip Equipment shows strength, implying selective capex and equipment visibility. Infrastructure strength, highlighted by Dell Technologies (DELL) $153.08 gaining 3.7% on share-return news, supports enterprise modernization spending, while Enterprise Software carries steep 50-day weakness despite Palantir (PLTR) $145.17 rallying intraday. Investors should prioritize chip-equipment leadership and infrastructure-exposed software names while trimming exposure to deeply lagging enterprise software and IT services positions.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +0.5% -0.9% -6.6% BELOW
Chip Supply Chain -1.0% -2.5% -1.5% BELOW
Infrastructure +1.2% +8.6% +14.1% ABOVE
Enterprise Software +1.4% +6.4% -7.1% BELOW
Finance -0.1% -2.0% -5.9% BELOW
Healthcare -1.3% +2.7% +0.5% BELOW
Retail -0.7% +0.4% +3.0% ABOVE
IT Services -0.8% +4.5% -23.2% BELOW
Airlines -2.6% -7.6% -5.3% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel -2.4% -0.4% -7.3% BELOW
Food & Restaurant -1.6% +0.4% +5.7% ABOVE
Logistics -0.6% -0.3% +10.4% ABOVE
Industrial +1.6% +0.1% +9.2% ABOVE
Cybersecurity +1.8% +5.1% -17.5% BELOW
Chip Equipment -1.0% -4.0% +3.2% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +0.0% +1.1% +14.0% ABOVE
Utilities -0.2% +0.5% +10.1% ABOVE
Energy +1.3% +2.8% +11.1% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace +3.4% +4.4% +6.0% ABOVE
Telecom -0.3% -1.0% +10.0% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -0.4% +11.4% +8.6% BELOW
Biotech +0.0% +1.2% +8.8% ABOVE
Materials +0.3% -0.0% +6.3% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.8% -1.9% -5.5% ABOVE

Sector Strength

Defense & Aerospace +3.4% 20d: +6.0%
RTX Corp (RTX) +4.7% (20d: +5.9%), Lockheed Martin (LMT) +3.4% (20d: +7.0%), General Dynamics (GD) +2.2% (20d: +5.3%)
Cybersecurity +1.8% 20d: -17.5%
CrowdStrike (CRWD) +3.5% (20d: -12.3%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) +1.1% (20d: -25.9%) [<50MA], Palo Alto Networks (PANW) +0.8% (20d: -14.4%) [<50MA]
Industrial +1.6% 20d: +9.2%
Honeywell (HON) +1.8% (20d: +9.5%), Caterpillar (CAT) +1.3% (20d: +8.9%)
Enterprise Software +1.4% 20d: -7.1%
Palantir (PLTR) +5.8% (20d: -1.8%) [<50MA], ServiceNow (NOW) +1.3% (20d: -7.3%) [<50MA], Adobe (ADBE) -0.6% (20d: -11.1%) [<50MA]
Energy +1.3% 20d: +11.1%
Chevron (CVX) +1.5% (20d: +10.0%), Exxon Mobil (XOM) +1.1% (20d: +12.2%)

Sector Warnings

Airlines -2.6% 20d: -5.3%
United (UAL) -2.9% (20d: -3.9%) [<50MA], Delta (DAL) -2.2% (20d: -6.7%) [<50MA]
Hospitality & Travel -2.4% 20d: -7.3%
Marriott (MAR) -3.3% (20d: +3.7%), Booking (BKNG) -1.4% (20d: -18.4%) [<50MA]
Food & Restaurant -1.6% 20d: +5.7%
McDonald's (MCD) -1.8% (20d: +5.1%), Starbucks (SBUX) -1.3% (20d: +6.2%)
Healthcare -1.3% 20d: +0.5%
Eli Lilly (LLY) -3.2% (20d: -2.3%) [<50MA], UnitedHealth (UNH) +0.6% (20d: +3.3%) [<50MA]
Chip Equipment -1.0% 20d: +3.2%
ASML -1.9% (20d: -1.1%), Lam Research (LRCX) -1.2% (20d: -2.7%), Applied Materials (AMAT) -0.0% (20d: +13.5%)

Sector Deep Dive

Defense & Aerospace led gains as geopolitical risk repriced the sector: RTX Corp (RTX) surged 4.7% to $211.28 and Lockheed Martin (LMT) rose 3.4% to $672.30, with the sector trading +24.1% over 50 days and firmly ABOVE its 50-day moving average. The 50-day trend is the primary lens here — the sector’s strong 50-day gain signals durable rotation into defense and higher relative momentum compared with the broader S&P 500. Given the news-driven backdrop, momentum names in the group are likely to remain in focus for short-term tactical exposure.

Chip Supply Chain and Chip Equipment are diverging: ARM Holdings (ARM) fell 2.4% to $124.37 while the Chip Supply Chain sector is below its 50-day moving average despite a 50-day gain of +6.7%, and Chip Equipment is -1.0% today but shows an outsized 50-day increase of +46.5% and is trading ABOVE its 50-day MA. The 50-day window highlights that equipment manufacturers are benefiting from sustained AI-driven capex, even as broader supply chain names lag, creating a two-tier opportunity within semiconductors.

Enterprise Software and Cybersecurity show contrasting short-term strength against long-term weakness: Palantir (PLTR) jumped 5.8% to $145.17 while CrowdStrike (CRWD) gained 3.5% to $96.21, yet the Enterprise Software sector is down sharply over the 50-day window (-24.9%) and remains BELOW its 50-day moving average. Cybersecurity is similarly stressed on longer horizons with a 50-day decline of -23.5% BELOW its 50-day MA, so today's bounce is tactical rather than a signal of trend reversal. Use the 50-day context to avoid mistaking binary earnings- or news-led spikes for sustainable recoveries.

Infrastructure and Energy continue to provide defensive cyclical ballast: Dell Technologies (DELL) rose 3.7% to $153.08 after mixed analyst commentary and a boost to shareholder returns, supporting the Infrastructure sector’s 50-day gain of +19.4% and ABOVE-50MA status. Energy finished +1.3% with a 50-day gain of +30.1% ABOVE its 50-day MA, underscoring commodity-led strength that complements defense exposure in risk-off/heavier geopolitical scenarios. These sectors’ 50-day strength suggests they can serve as rotation destinations when growth-heavy sectors underperform.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 14 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 10 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 15 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH IT Services down -23.2% over 20 days
HIGH Cybersecurity down -17.5% over 20 days
HIGH Enterprise Software down -24.9% over 50 days
HIGH IT Services down -22.7% over 50 days
HIGH Cybersecurity down -23.5% over 50 days
HIGH 8 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Enterprise Software, Finance, IT Services, Airlines, Hospitality & Travel, Cybersecurity, Analog & Embedded Chips
HIGH 3 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Enterprise Software, IT Services, Cybersecurity

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NVDA $182.26 +3.0% -5.4% -1.7% +6.8% BELOW 0
MSFT $397.69 +1.5% +2.5% -5.6% -16.1% BELOW 0
META $652.40 +0.8% +2.2% -7.5% +0.6% BELOW 0
AAPL $264.48 +0.2% -2.7% -1.9% -2.5% BELOW 0
TSLA $403.32 +0.2% -1.5% -4.4% -13.7% BELOW 0
AMZN $208.39 -0.8% -0.1% -14.2% -5.8% BELOW 1
GOOG $305.96 -1.6% -1.5% -11.2% +2.8% BELOW 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AVGO $317.65 -0.2% -2.0% -3.7% -2.0% BELOW 3
INTC $45.50 -0.2% -1.3% -6.8% +26.2% ABOVE 1
AMD $198.62 -0.8% -7.1% -19.3% +0.3% BELOW 4
QCOM $139.61 -0.9% -2.6% -7.6% -18.2% BELOW 3
MRVL $80.80 -1.0% +3.2% +2.8% -1.0% BELOW 1
TSM $367.21 -1.5% -4.3% +8.1% +33.3% ABOVE 3
ARM $124.37 -2.4% -2.9% +16.3% +8.5% ABOVE 3
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DELL $153.08 +3.7% +28.2% +28.9% +20.6% ABOVE 0
HPE $21.92 +3.1% +9.3% +0.5% -7.3% BELOW 0
VRT $257.64 +1.1% +1.8% +35.7% +72.0% ABOVE 0
CSCO $78.70 -0.1% +1.6% -1.5% +5.1% ABOVE 1
SMCI $31.83 -1.7% +2.2% +7.1% +6.7% ABOVE 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $145.17 +5.8% +12.7% -1.8% -18.1% BELOW 0
NOW $109.42 +1.3% +6.8% -7.3% -30.1% BELOW 0
ADBE $260.88 -0.6% +2.2% -11.1% -26.4% BELOW 1
CRM $191.97 -0.9% +4.1% -8.5% -25.1% BELOW 2
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $857.92 +0.8% -4.0% -8.5% -0.7% BELOW 0
JPM $294.72 -0.9% +0.1% -3.4% -5.1% BELOW 2
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $290.99 +0.6% +7.7% +3.3% -11.1% BELOW 0
LLY $1016.22 -3.2% -2.3% -2.3% -2.1% BELOW 1
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $126.60 -0.7% +0.3% +2.5% +9.9% ABOVE 1
COST $1001.32 -0.8% +0.4% +3.6% +16.4% ABOVE 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $237.62 -0.3% +4.4% -23.5% -20.6% BELOW 2
ACN $201.77 -1.3% +4.7% -22.8% -24.8% BELOW 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $63.92 -2.2% -6.9% -6.7% -7.6% BELOW 2
UAL $103.21 -2.9% -8.3% -3.9% -6.4% BELOW 2
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $166.39 -1.4% +2.7% -18.4% -21.7% BELOW 2
MAR $329.82 -3.3% -3.5% +3.7% +6.8% ABOVE 2
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $96.20 -1.3% +0.3% +6.2% +14.3% ABOVE 2
MCD $330.72 -1.8% +0.5% +5.1% +5.1% ABOVE 1
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $309.62 +0.1% +0.2% +15.5% +37.2% ABOVE 0
UPS $112.52 -1.3% -0.8% +5.2% +14.9% ABOVE 2
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $258.71 +1.8% +2.3% +9.5% +24.7% ABOVE 0
CAT $750.89 +1.3% -2.1% +8.9% +34.2% ABOVE 0
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRWD $96.21 +3.5% +9.9% -12.3% -18.1% BELOW 0
ZS $148.58 +1.1% -0.5% -25.9% -34.4% BELOW 0
PANW $150.15 +0.8% +6.0% -14.4% -18.1% BELOW 0
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMAT $371.72 -0.0% -1.5% +13.5% +50.1% ABOVE 3
LRCX $230.56 -1.2% -5.4% -2.7% +49.1% ABOVE 3
ASML $1420.44 -1.9% -5.0% -1.1% +40.4% ABOVE 3
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $176.31 +0.8% +0.3% +8.2% +20.4% ABOVE 0
EQIX $961.35 -0.8% +2.0% +19.9% +29.9% ABOVE 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $130.50 +0.6% +2.5% +11.1% +13.0% ABOVE 0
SO $96.43 -0.2% +1.5% +11.1% +12.6% ABOVE 1
NEE $92.04 -1.1% -2.4% +8.1% +16.3% ABOVE 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $187.88 +1.5% +2.3% +10.0% +28.0% ABOVE 0
XOM $153.18 +1.1% +3.3% +12.2% +32.2% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $211.28 +4.7% +6.9% +5.9% +20.1% ABOVE 0
LMT $672.30 +3.4% +2.4% +7.0% +43.3% ABOVE 0
GD $361.50 +2.2% +3.9% +5.3% +8.9% ABOVE 0
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $27.35 +0.0% -1.2% +6.5% +16.3% ABOVE 0
VZ $48.41 -0.3% +0.2% +12.0% +24.4% ABOVE 1
TMUS $214.94 -0.5% -2.2% +11.4% +8.9% ABOVE 1
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $97.09 +0.9% +24.4% +17.3% +2.4% ABOVE 0
DIS $103.54 -1.6% -1.6% -0.1% -5.7% BELOW 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $148.21 +0.7% +1.6% +5.0% +23.6% ABOVE 0
AMGN $382.81 -0.6% +0.7% +12.7% +19.1% ABOVE 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $273.01 +0.3% -1.1% +2.0% +13.0% ABOVE 0
LIN $506.03 +0.2% +1.1% +10.7% +20.6% ABOVE 0
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCHP $73.94 -0.4% -2.1% -4.3% +16.8% ABOVE 6
TXN $208.76 -1.1% -1.7% -6.8% +21.0% ABOVE 3

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) rose 5.8% to $145.17. RTX Corp (RTX) (Defense & Aerospace) rose 4.7% to $211.28. Dell (DELL) (Infrastructure) rose 3.7% to $153.08. CrowdStrike (CRWD) (Cybersecurity) rose 3.5% to $96.21. Lockheed Martin (LMT) (Defense & Aerospace) rose 3.4% to $672.30. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 7 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term market direction will be driven by geopolitical headlines and earnings cadence; active alerts are flashing for steep 20- and 50-day deterioration in IT Services, Cybersecurity and Enterprise Software, and 8 sectors are down more than 5% over 20 days which raises caution. Breadth is mixed: 14 sectors above their 50-day moving averages and 10 below, and three sectors (Enterprise Software, IT Services, Cybersecurity) show >10% declines over 50 days — that 50-day deterioration argues for defensive trimming of deeply lagging cyclicals and software exposure. Positioning guidance: favor pockets of strength in Defense & Aerospace, Energy and select Infrastructure names, reduce size in weak Enterprise Software/IT Services, and use rallies in AI-related megacaps for selective profit-taking while maintaining exposure to best-in-class chip-equipment beneficiaries.

Hypothetical Portfolio

SIMULATION
Value $104,717
P&L +4.72%
Today -0.03%
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