US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Monday, February 02, 2026 BULLISH

Stocks recovered today as investors digested fresh industry headlines and rotation into cyclicals, led by a headline-driven rally in industrials and chips. Caterpillar (CAT) jumped 5.1% to $689.60 after a reported Monarch campus AI data-center deal lifted demand expectations, while Intel (INTC) climbed 5.0% to $48.81 on news of a SoftBank partnership on next‑gen memory. Airlines outperformed with United (UAL) up 4.9% to $107.35 and Delta (DAL) +4.8% to $68.54 amid easing fuel costs, even as Media & Entertainment lagged and Disney (DIS) plunged 7.4% to $103.66. The Magnificent 7 were mixed: Apple (AAPL) led gains among the group, but NVIDIA (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA) slid, leaving the Mag 7 ensemble essentially flat for the day.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.29%

stable

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$62.14

-4.7% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

16.3

-6.3% 1D

Impact

Confidence

200-Day Moving Average

Bullish Trend Intact

0/3 below

SPY above (+8.8%), QQQ above (+9.2%), DIA above (+9.5%)

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Pause Discretionary Adds

63%

43 of 68 above 50DMA · -1.5pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Caution

0.75

Call-Heavy · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI theme shows bifurcation today: strength in chip and infrastructure names against pressure in select software and services where earnings momentum is missing. NVIDIA (NVDA) at $185.38 and Microsoft (MSFT) at $421.49 remain central to inference compute demand, but the broader Mag 7 set shows uneven 50-day trajectories that argue for selective exposure. Chip supply‑chain names like Intel (INTC) at $48.81 are benefiting from partner announcements and next‑gen memory hopes, while enterprise software faces headline risk that could delay broad adoption and spending.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	-0.1%	-0.5%	+0.4%	ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain	+2.0%	-0.4%	+0.5%	BELOW
Infrastructure	+2.7%	+0.8%	+0.5%	BELOW
Enterprise Software	+0.2%	-7.6%	-16.1%	BELOW
Finance	+1.0%	+2.2%	-3.8%	BELOW
Healthcare	+0.1%	+0.7%	-8.1%	BELOW
Retail	+3.6%	+3.0%	+10.4%	ABOVE
IT Services	+1.9%	+1.9%	+3.9%	BELOW
Airlines	+4.9%	+3.8%	-5.2%	BELOW
Hospitality & Travel	+1.8%	+0.5%	-1.0%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	+0.4%	-1.4%	+6.1%	ABOVE
Logistics	+3.9%	+5.1%	+10.4%	ABOVE
Industrial	+2.6%	+5.6%	+12.8%	ABOVE
Cybersecurity	-0.4%	-7.0%	-5.8%	BELOW
Chip Equipment	+1.6%	-0.9%	+18.3%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	-0.9%	+0.6%	+5.5%	ABOVE
Utilities	-1.5%	-0.8%	+3.3%	ABOVE
Energy	-1.9%	+2.0%	+8.3%	ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace	-0.3%	+0.4%	+9.7%	ABOVE
Telecom	-0.2%	+11.2%	+5.9%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	-4.1%	-4.4%	-9.0%	BELOW
Biotech	+0.7%	-0.3%	+14.1%	ABOVE
Materials	+0.1%	+3.1%	+6.5%	ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips	+3.6%	+9.5%	+22.1%	ABOVE

Sector Strength

Airlines +4.9% 20d: -5.2%

United (UAL) +4.9% (20d: -6.6%) [<50MA], Delta (DAL) +4.8% (20d: -3.8%)

Logistics +3.9% 20d: +10.4%

FedEx (FDX) +4.0% (20d: +12.7%), UPS +3.8% (20d: +8.1%)

Analog & Embedded Chips +3.6% 20d: +22.1%

Texas Instruments (TXN) +4.4% (20d: +27.8%), Microchip Technology (MCHP) +2.8% (20d: +16.4%)

Retail +3.6% 20d: +10.4%

Walmart (WMT) +4.1% (20d: +10.1%), Costco (COST) +3.0% (20d: +10.7%)

Infrastructure +2.7% 20d: +0.5%

Dell (DELL) +4.1% (20d: -3.5%) [<50MA], Cisco (CSCO) +3.0% (20d: +6.7%), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) +2.3% (20d: -8.8%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Media & Entertainment -4.1% 20d: -9.0%

Disney (DIS) -7.4% (20d: -8.4%) [<50MA], Netflix (NFLX) -0.9% (20d: -9.5%) [<50MA]

Energy -1.9% 20d: +8.3%

Exxon Mobil (XOM) -2.1% (20d: +10.4%), Chevron (CVX) -1.6% (20d: +6.2%)

Utilities -1.5% 20d: +3.3%

NextEra Energy (NEE) -1.8% (20d: +6.2%), Duke Energy (DUK) -1.5% (20d: +2.3%), Southern Co (SO) -1.3% (20d: +1.5%)

Data Center REITs -0.9% 20d: +5.5%

Equinix (EQIX) -1.3% (20d: +5.0%), Digital Realty (DLR) -0.5% (20d: +6.0%)

Cybersecurity -0.4% 20d: -5.8%

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -0.9% (20d: -3.7%) [<50MA], CrowdStrike (CRWD) -0.6% (20d: -3.9%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) +0.3% (20d: -9.9%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Analog & Embedded Chips saw one of the clearest 50-day leadership trends as the sector is 49.6% over its 50-day baseline and added 3.6% on the day. Texas Instruments (TXN) led within the group, rising 4.4% to $223.87 as investors rewarded resilient analog demand; the sector’s strong 50-day context supports continued rotational inflows into maturity-levered semiconductor names.

Airlines rallied sharply intraday even as the sector sits below its 50-day average on breadth; the group is up 4.9% today and shows a 50-day performance of +19.5% despite the below-50MA signal. United (UAL) traded to $107.35, up 4.9%, and Delta (DAL) rose 4.8% to $68.54 as falling jet fuel costs and travel commentary drove immediate upside — the 50-day strength suggests sustained demand recovery but mixed near-term technicals warrant watchful position sizing.

Industrial names outperformed on cyclical rotation and AI infrastructure deals, with the sector up 2.6% and a 50-day gain of 22.3% above its moving average. Caterpillar (CAT) jumped 5.1% to $689.60 after the Monarch campus story, signaling durable data‑center and construction equipment exposures; industrial 50-day strength implies leadership in the current market regime, favoring selective exposure to names tied to capital spending and infrastructure buildout.

Chip Supply Chain showed constructive intraday performance (+2.0%) but remains below its 50-day moving average at +4.5% over 50 days, highlighting a still-developing recovery. Intel (INTC) advanced 5.0% to $48.81 on collaboration headlines around next-gen memory, underscoring how strategic partnerships can accelerate re‑rating even when the broader supply chain has a muted 50-day trend. Investors should monitor order cycles and memory cadence before enlarging cyclical chip positions.

Enterprise Software is an alert high-risk area after a steep drawdown, with the sector down -16.1% over 20 days and -13.4% versus the 50-day average, illustrating persistent weakness in subscription re-acceleration. Microsoft (MSFT) is emblematic of the caution — MSFT at $421.49 is 12.9% below its 50-day — and the sector’s technicals argue for defensive posture until renewal trends and guidance improve.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 14 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 10 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 17 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Enterprise Software down -16.1% over 20 days

HIGH Cybersecurity down -19.7% over 50 days

HIGH 5 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Enterprise Software, Healthcare, Airlines, Cybersecurity, Media & Entertainment

HIGH 3 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Enterprise Software, Cybersecurity, Media & Entertainment

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AAPL	$269.51	+4.1%	+4.5%	+1.0%	+0.5%	ABOVE	0
GOOG	$344.45	+1.9%	+3.0%	+8.7%	+17.8%	ABOVE	0
AMZN	$242.96	+1.5%	-0.7%	+4.2%	+9.1%	ABOVE	0
META	$705.15	-1.4%	+5.0%	+7.2%	+19.8%	ABOVE	2
MSFT	$421.49	-1.6%	-11.9%	-10.5%	-12.9%	BELOW	3
TSLA	$421.81	-2.0%	-2.1%	-6.6%	+4.4%	BELOW	1
NVDA	$185.38	-2.9%	-1.5%	-1.3%	-0.5%	ABOVE	2

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
INTC	$48.81	+5.0%	+11.1%	+24.0%	+39.0%	ABOVE	0
AMD	$246.27	+4.0%	-2.3%	+11.4%	+10.2%	ABOVE	0
TSM	$339.61	+3.3%	+0.9%	+5.9%	+21.2%	ABOVE	0
ARM	$106.93	+1.5%	-6.9%	-7.9%	-21.9%	BELOW	0
QCOM	$151.09	+0.7%	-0.3%	-13.4%	-7.7%	BELOW	0
AVGO	$329.89	-0.1%	-0.5%	-3.6%	-6.4%	BELOW	1
MRVL	$78.60	-0.3%	-5.1%	-12.8%	-3.2%	BELOW	3

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
DELL	$118.79	+4.1%	+3.9%	-3.5%	+0.3%	BELOW
CSCO	$79.91	+3.0%	+2.5%	+6.7%	+3.4%	ABOVE
HPE	$21.81	+2.3%	+1.9%	-8.8%	+7.5%	BELOW
SMCI	$29.71	+2.1%	-4.8%	-1.2%	-11.9%	BELOW
VRT	$189.93	+2.1%	+0.4%	+9.2%	+11.4%	ABOVE

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NOW	$118.00	+0.8%	-10.5%	-20.1%	-27.7%	BELOW	0
PLTR	$147.76	+0.8%	-10.8%	-15.1%	-10.7%	BELOW	0
ADBE	$293.38	+0.0%	-1.4%	-11.5%	-7.8%	BELOW	0
CRM	$209.74	-0.7%	-7.8%	-17.7%	-7.3%	BELOW	5

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GS	$937.25	+1.2%	+1.8%	-0.2%	+21.0%	ABOVE	0
JPM	$305.20	+0.7%	+2.6%	-7.3%	+2.1%	BELOW	0

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LLY	$1040.60	+0.7%	+0.4%	+0.3%	-0.5%	BELOW	0
UNH	$281.78	-0.5%	+1.0%	-16.5%	-7.0%	BELOW	3

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
WMT	$123.57	+4.1%	+6.1%	+10.1%	+23.6%	ABOVE	0
COST	$966.96	+3.0%	-0.1%	+10.7%	+8.9%	ABOVE	0

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
IBM	$310.66	+2.6%	+7.1%	+6.7%	+9.1%	ABOVE	0
ACN	$261.40	+1.2%	-3.3%	+1.1%	+10.7%	BELOW	0

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UAL	$107.35	+4.9%	+3.2%	-6.6%	+17.5%	BELOW	0
DAL	$68.54	+4.8%	+4.4%	-3.8%	+21.5%	ABOVE	0

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
BKNG	$203.91	+2.4%	-0.6%	-4.6%	+9.4%	BELOW	0
MAR	$318.05	+1.3%	+1.7%	+2.7%	+12.6%	ABOVE	0

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCD	$314.63	+1.1%	+1.4%	+6.2%	+5.8%	ABOVE	0
SBUX	$90.57	-0.3%	-4.2%	+5.9%	+9.6%	ABOVE	6

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
FDX	$268.09	+4.0%	+7.3%	+12.7%	+28.4%	ABOVE	0
UPS	$106.95	+3.8%	+2.9%	+8.1%	+19.3%	ABOVE	0

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$689.60	+5.1%	+8.1%	+12.4%	+25.2%	ABOVE	0
HON	$236.18	+0.0%	+3.0%	+13.2%	+19.4%	ABOVE	0

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ZS	$200.61	+0.3%	-8.7%	-9.9%	-31.3%	BELOW	0
CRWD	$109.71	-0.6%	-7.9%	-3.9%	-15.7%	BELOW	4
PANW	$175.42	-0.9%	-4.4%	-3.7%	-12.2%	BELOW	1

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
AMAT	$327.58	+1.9%	-1.3%	+15.5%	+39.9%	ABOVE
LRCX	$237.05	+1.7%	-0.4%	+21.9%	+59.9%	ABOVE
ASML	$1436.35	+1.3%	-0.9%	+17.4%	+38.7%	ABOVE

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DLR	$162.91	-0.5%	+1.2%	+6.0%	+4.5%	ABOVE	2
EQIX	$802.02	-1.3%	+0.1%	+5.0%	+5.9%	ABOVE	2

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SO	$86.78	-1.3%	-0.7%	+1.5%	-1.0%	ABOVE	1
DUK	$117.47	-1.5%	-0.7%	+2.3%	-2.2%	ABOVE	1
NEE	$85.12	-1.8%	-0.9%	+6.2%	+3.1%	ABOVE	2

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CVX	$170.78	-1.6%	+2.9%	+6.2%	+14.7%	ABOVE	1
XOM	$136.56	-2.1%	+1.1%	+10.4%	+17.9%	ABOVE	1

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LMT	$628.55	+0.3%	+6.9%	+24.3%	+36.4%	ABOVE	0
RTX	$199.59	+0.1%	-0.1%	+6.8%	+16.2%	ABOVE	0
GD	$343.26	-1.3%	-5.5%	-2.2%	+1.4%	ABOVE	1

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
T	$25.68	+0.3%	+14.3%	+7.7%	+5.3%	ABOVE	0
VZ	$43.21	+0.2%	+13.5%	+12.8%	+10.2%	ABOVE	0
TMUS	$193.01	-1.1%	+5.7%	-2.9%	-7.2%	BELOW	1

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NFLX	$82.76	-0.9%	-3.3%	-9.5%	-24.8%	BELOW	1
DIS	$103.66	-7.4%	-5.6%	-8.4%	+0.5%	BELOW	1

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMGN	$339.74	+0.8%	-1.9%	+7.5%	+1.4%	ABOVE	0
GILD	$141.16	+0.7%	+1.4%	+20.8%	+12.3%	ABOVE	0

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LIN	$457.17	+0.7%	+1.6%	+6.2%	+11.8%	ABOVE	0
APD	$267.64	-0.6%	+4.6%	+6.8%	+7.8%	ABOVE	1

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TXN	$223.87	+4.4%	+15.2%	+27.8%	+44.2%	ABOVE	0
MCHP	$77.24	+2.8%	+3.9%	+16.4%	+55.1%	ABOVE	0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Disney (DIS) (Media & Entertainment) fell 7.4% to $103.66. Caterpillar (CAT) (Industrial) rose 5.1% to $689.60. Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 5.0% to $48.81. United (UAL) (Airlines) rose 4.9% to $107.35. Delta (DAL) (Airlines) rose 4.8% to $68.54. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 4 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Market breadth improved with 14 sectors above their 50MA and 10 below, but active alerts remain elevated — notably Enterprise Software and Cybersecurity flagged as HIGH risk — and five sectors have declined more than 5% over 20 days. The S&P 500 recovery today looks driven by cyclicals and select chip supply‑chain rebounds, while the 50‑day trends show leadership concentrated in chips, industrials and logistics. Positioning guidance: overweight selective analog/chip suppliers and industrials with confirmed earnings/cash flow, underweight weak enterprise software and cybersecurity until 50-day trends and renewal metrics stabilize.

Hypothetical Portfolio

SIMULATION

Value $102,016

P&L +2.02%

Today +0.69%

View full portfolio → Simulation only. Not investment advice.

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