> 2ndOcean_

US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, May 13, 2025 BULLISH

Today's market was driven by a hot streak in AI-related hardware and infrastructure after Super Micro (SMCI) surged 16.0% on renewed data center demand, lifting the Infrastructure sector 5.2%. The S&P 500 saw broad strength with 14 sectors up and 16 sectors holding above their 50-day moving averages, led by Mag 7 (AI Spenders) which climbed 2.3% and helped lift Chip Equipment (+2.8%) and Enterprise Software (+2.7%). Conversely, Healthcare remained the day's largest weakness, with UnitedHealth (UNH) plunging 17.8% and dragging the sector sharply lower. Market action reflected a clear bifurcation between AI/infrastructure beneficiaries and vulnerable defensive sectors in the US stock market.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.49%
rising
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$63.67
+2.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
18.2
-0.9% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+2.8%), QQQ above (+5.1%), DIA above (+0.3%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Late-Cycle Caution
75%
51 of 68 above 50DMA · +17.6pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI demand continues to concentrate flows into the Magnificent 7 and their supply chains as investors favor compute and data-center upgrades. NVIDIA (NVDA) $129.75 jumped 5.6% and remains 12.0% above its 50-day average, while Microsoft (MSFT) $444.76 holds a 50-day advantage at +15.6% and Apple (AAPL) $212.09 remains a key software-hardware beneficiary despite a mixed 50-day picture. Chip Supply Chain names and Infrastructure winners are pricing in another leg of capex, and Enterprise Software leaders like Palantir (PLTR) $128.10 are benefitting from deployment demand tied to AI projects.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +2.3% +10.2% +16.3% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain +2.4% +10.1% +19.8% ABOVE
Infrastructure +5.2% +11.0% +23.1% ABOVE
Enterprise Software +2.7% +7.1% +21.0% ABOVE
Finance +1.6% +7.4% +15.9% ABOVE
Healthcare -9.5% -12.2% -24.1% BELOW
Retail -1.3% -1.8% +2.3% ABOVE
IT Services +1.0% +4.1% +9.9% ABOVE
Airlines +4.5% +13.5% +26.7% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel +1.0% +4.2% +18.6% ABOVE
Food & Restaurant +0.2% +1.0% +1.3% BELOW
Logistics -1.1% +6.7% +7.5% BELOW
Industrial +1.2% +5.9% +15.2% ABOVE
Cybersecurity +1.1% +3.7% +14.1% ABOVE
Chip Equipment +2.8% +11.2% +18.6% ABOVE
Data Center REITs -0.2% -0.6% +11.9% ABOVE
Utilities -0.5% -2.6% -1.9% BELOW
Energy +0.4% +4.7% +6.0% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace -1.3% +0.5% -0.6% ABOVE
Telecom -1.4% -4.7% -6.3% BELOW
Media & Entertainment +1.7% +3.8% +23.8% ABOVE
Biotech -1.9% +0.3% -6.2% BELOW
Materials -0.9% +1.8% +1.5% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips +1.3% +21.9% +43.2% ABOVE

Sector Strength

Infrastructure +5.2% 20d: +23.1%
Super Micro (SMCI) +16.0% (20d: +16.2%), Vertiv (VRT) +4.5% (20d: +45.2%), Dell (DELL) +4.3% (20d: +27.0%)
Airlines +4.5% 20d: +26.7%
United (UAL) +5.1% (20d: +23.3%), Delta (DAL) +3.9% (20d: +30.2%)
Chip Equipment +2.8% 20d: +18.6%
Lam Research (LRCX) +3.6% (20d: +24.6%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +3.0% (20d: +19.0%), ASML +1.8% (20d: +12.2%)
Enterprise Software +2.7% 20d: +21.0%
Palantir (PLTR) +8.1% (20d: +30.2%), ServiceNow (NOW) +2.1% (20d: +27.0%), Adobe (ADBE) +0.4% (20d: +13.4%)
Chip Supply Chain +2.4% 20d: +19.8%
Broadcom (AVGO) +4.9% (20d: +29.9%), AMD +4.0% (20d: +18.0%), TSMC (TSM) +3.7% (20d: +23.3%)

Sector Warnings

Healthcare -9.5% 20d: -24.1% CRITICAL
UnitedHealth (UNH) -17.8% (20d: -46.6%) [<50MA], Eli Lilly (LLY) -1.3% (20d: -1.5%) [<50MA]
Biotech -1.9% 20d: -6.2%
Gilead (GILD) -2.3% (20d: -4.0%) [<50MA], Amgen (AMGN) -1.6% (20d: -8.4%) [<50MA]
Telecom -1.4% 20d: -6.3%
AT&T (T) -2.1% (20d: -3.8%) [<50MA], T-Mobile (TMUS) -1.2% (20d: -11.0%) [<50MA], Verizon (VZ) -0.8% (20d: -4.1%) [<50MA]
Retail -1.3% 20d: +2.3%
Costco (COST) -1.7% (20d: +2.4%), Walmart (WMT) -0.9% (20d: +2.3%)
Defense & Aerospace -1.3% 20d: -0.6%
Lockheed Martin (LMT) -2.8% (20d: -2.1%) [<50MA], General Dynamics (GD) -1.2% (20d: -1.5%), RTX Corp (RTX) +0.1% (20d: +1.6%)

Sector Deep Dive

Infrastructure outperformed today, led by Super Micro (SMCI) which rallied 16.0% to $38.89 as data-center spend headlines accelerated. The Infrastructure sector is up 5.2% on the day and sits comfortably ABOVE its 50-day moving average (+6.2% vs 50d), confirming the 50-day trend as buyers pile into equipment and rack-level vendors who will capture server refresh cycles.

Chip Equipment and the Chip Supply Chain showed sustained leadership; Chip Equipment rose 2.8% and the Chip Supply Chain gained 2.4% as semiconductor investment momentum continued. NVIDIA (NVDA) $129.75 advanced 5.6% and is 12.0% ABOVE its 50-day trend, while related supply-chain names are posting double-digit 20-day gains, reinforcing a constructive 50-day backdrop for capital-equipment exposure.

Enterprise Software saw robust rotation into names tied to AI deployments, with Palantir (PLTR) $128.10 up 8.1% on strong order flow commentary. The sector is +2.7% today and sits ABOVE its 50-day average (+14.0% vs 50d), indicating that software vendors delivering AI tooling and enterprise models are being re-rated on 50-day momentum and near-term revenue visibility.

Airlines benefited from travel tailwinds and re-opening strength as United (UAL) $82.60 popped 5.1%, powering the Airlines sector to a 4.5% gain and leaving it ABOVE its 50-day moving average despite a more recent negative 50-day delta (-3.5% 50d). The 50-day context shows improving relative performance over the last month, but investors should watch whether capacity and fuel dynamics sustain the move.

Healthcare remains the most stressed sector, with UnitedHealth (UNH) $301.12 plunging 17.8% and dragging the sector to a -9.5% one-day print and steep declines over 20- and 50-day windows. Healthcare sits BELOW its 50-day moving average (-26.1% vs 50d) and triggered multiple HIGH alerts for 20- and 50-day deterioration, signaling a meaningful 50-day downtrend and heightened downside risk for defensive allocations.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 16 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 8 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 19 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Healthcare down -24.1% over 20 days
HIGH Healthcare down -26.1% over 50 days
HIGH 3 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Healthcare, Telecom, Biotech
HIGH 4 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Healthcare, Food & Restaurant, Logistics, Biotech

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NVDA $129.75 +5.6% +11.0% +15.8% +12.0% ABOVE 0
TSLA $334.07 +4.9% +20.9% +31.5% +22.8% ABOVE 0
META $653.38 +2.6% +9.9% +25.8% +2.6% ABOVE 0
AMZN $211.37 +1.3% +12.0% +17.7% +3.7% ABOVE 0
AAPL $212.09 +1.0% +8.6% +5.5% -9.6% ABOVE 0
GOOG $160.24 +0.8% +5.3% +1.4% -6.7% BELOW 0
MSFT $444.76 -0.0% +3.6% +16.4% +15.6% ABOVE 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AVGO $230.19 +4.9% +13.5% +29.9% +24.3% ABOVE 0
AMD $112.46 +4.0% +12.1% +18.0% +11.6% ABOVE 0
TSM $191.17 +3.7% +11.1% +23.3% +8.2% ABOVE 0
INTC $22.56 +1.7% +11.1% +13.7% +5.8% ABOVE 0
MRVL $65.29 +1.5% +16.3% +22.8% -25.8% ABOVE 0
ARM $126.68 +1.5% +2.0% +22.0% +3.4% ABOVE 0
QCOM $147.33 -0.5% +4.9% +9.2% -1.5% ABOVE 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SMCI $38.89 +16.0% +19.7% +16.2% -0.6% ABOVE 0
VRT $105.43 +4.5% +10.5% +45.2% +22.3% ABOVE 0
DELL $106.23 +4.3% +12.6% +27.0% +15.4% ABOVE 0
HPE $17.43 +1.0% +8.2% +19.4% -4.1% ABOVE 0
CSCO $60.16 +0.2% +3.7% +8.0% -1.7% ABOVE 0
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $128.10 +8.1% +15.9% +30.2% +51.8% ABOVE 0
NOW $207.34 +2.1% +5.4% +27.0% +14.4% ABOVE 0
ADBE $397.40 +0.4% +3.2% +13.4% -10.9% ABOVE 0
CRM $286.29 +0.1% +3.9% +13.4% +0.8% ABOVE 0
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $588.96 +2.1% +9.4% +18.9% +3.9% ABOVE 0
JPM $256.84 +1.1% +5.5% +12.8% +5.7% ABOVE 0
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $739.30 -1.3% -3.9% -1.5% -18.1% BELOW 1
UNH $301.12 -17.8% -20.4% -46.6% -34.1% BELOW 6
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $95.09 -0.9% -2.8% +2.3% +1.5% ABOVE 1
COST $993.44 -1.7% -0.8% +2.4% -3.5% ABOVE 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $252.14 +1.9% +2.7% +8.1% +2.8% ABOVE 0
ACN $314.45 +0.1% +5.4% +11.7% -6.3% ABOVE 0
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $82.60 +5.1% +9.6% +23.3% -4.2% ABOVE 0
DAL $52.23 +3.9% +17.3% +30.2% -2.8% ABOVE 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $208.37 +1.3% +1.3% +14.1% +7.7% ABOVE 0
MAR $271.04 +0.8% +7.1% +23.2% +1.2% ABOVE 0
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $84.05 +1.4% +5.0% +3.8% -22.5% BELOW 0
MCD $299.68 -1.0% -3.0% -1.2% +1.0% BELOW 2
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $181.53 -0.8% +7.2% +11.5% -6.2% ABOVE 1
UPS $91.88 -1.4% +6.2% +3.4% -14.5% BELOW 1
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $348.77 +2.9% +10.1% +20.7% +8.4% ABOVE 0
HON $210.02 -0.5% +1.7% +9.8% +4.9% ABOVE 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRWD $110.05 +2.5% +4.2% +12.1% +12.8% ABOVE 0
ZS $245.00 +1.5% +4.9% +19.7% +26.4% ABOVE 0
PANW $192.00 -0.8% +2.1% +10.6% +4.1% ABOVE 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $84.57 +3.6% +13.6% +24.6% +11.9% ABOVE 0
AMAT $171.28 +3.0% +11.1% +19.0% +13.2% ABOVE 0
ASML $757.96 +1.8% +9.1% +12.2% +8.2% ABOVE 0
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $160.03 -0.1% -0.8% +13.4% +7.4% ABOVE 4
EQIX $844.92 -0.2% -0.4% +10.3% -4.5% ABOVE 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $69.52 +3.5% +7.1% +6.6% +1.8% ABOVE 0
DUK $108.27 -2.4% -7.8% -6.2% -2.9% BELOW 2
SO $82.17 -2.5% -7.1% -6.0% -4.8% BELOW 2
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $134.98 +0.5% +4.8% +5.8% -6.3% BELOW 0
XOM $105.11 +0.3% +4.6% +6.2% +1.8% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $128.02 +0.1% +2.5% +1.6% +1.6% ABOVE 0
GD $266.92 -1.2% +1.3% -1.5% +9.5% ABOVE 1
LMT $444.69 -2.8% -2.4% -2.1% +2.5% BELOW 3
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VZ $39.29 -0.8% -2.8% -4.1% +1.1% BELOW 2
TMUS $232.09 -1.2% -5.5% -11.0% -10.3% BELOW 5
T $25.01 -2.1% -5.9% -3.8% +1.9% BELOW 2
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $113.84 +2.6% -1.5% +16.6% +17.1% ABOVE 0
DIS $109.32 +0.8% +9.1% +31.0% +2.2% ABOVE 0
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $260.26 -1.6% -2.0% -8.4% -13.4% BELOW 1
GILD $98.16 -2.3% +2.6% -4.0% -11.0% BELOW 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $443.27 -0.8% +0.2% -0.1% -2.0% BELOW 1
APD $264.85 -0.9% +3.4% +3.1% -9.8% BELOW 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCHP $60.19 +2.2% +29.6% +60.9% +7.2% ABOVE 0
TXN $183.07 +0.5% +14.2% +25.5% -2.6% ABOVE 0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: UnitedHealth (UNH) (Healthcare) fell 17.8% to $301.12. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) rose 16.0% to $38.89. Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) rose 8.1% to $128.10. NVIDIA (NVDA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 5.6% to $129.75. United (UAL) (Airlines) rose 5.1% to $82.60. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 4 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Heading into tomorrow, market participants should weigh 16 sectors remaining above their 50MA against four HIGH alerts tied to multi-timeframe declines in Healthcare and other laggards; breadth is constructive with 14 sectors up today but concentration in AI-related names elevated risk. Watch alert counts and the number of sectors below 50MA (8) as a leading indicator for rotation or broader weakness; the 50-day trends still favor technology, infrastructure, and chip-related sectors. Positioning should favor selective exposure to AI/infrastructure supply chains while trimming defensive healthcare and long-duration liability trades until 50-day momentum stabilizes.

← 2025-05-12
Calendar
2025-05-14 →