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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Wednesday, March 26, 2025 MIXED

The US stock market opened under pressure after a broad selloff in AI-related names and chip suppliers, led by a steep drop in NVIDIA (NVDA) which fell 5.7% to $113.60 and dragged the Mag 7 group lower by 3.1% on the day. The S&P 500 internals were mixed with 9 sectors higher and 11 lower, but only 5 sectors remain above their 50-day moving averages while 19 sit below — a clear sign of narrowing leadership. Infrastructure and the chip supply chain suffered the biggest 50-day damage, triggering high alerts as Super Micro (SMCI) slid 8.9% to $37.04 and ARM Holdings (ARM) tumbled 7.5% to $114.93. Defensive pockets such as Utilities and Telecom outperformed, with NextEra Energy (NEE) up 1.7% at $67.22 and Verizon (VZ) up 1.6% at $40.05 supporting the market's upside anchors.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.35%
falling
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$69.65
+0.9% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
18.3
+6.9% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Strong Cash-Deploy Signal
29%
20 of 68 above 50DMA · -4.4pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI leadership cooled today as the Mag 7 cohort gave back ground: NVIDIA (NVDA) traded down to $113.60 and Microsoft (MSFT) slipped to $386.17, reflecting profit-taking in AI hardware and cloud infrastructure. Chip supply chain names like Marvell (MRVL) at $66.49 and ARM Holdings (ARM) at $114.93 extended losses, underscoring the sensitivity of the hardware stack to short-term sentiment. On the software and services side, Enterprise Software weakness suggests investors are parsing near-term enterprise spending; the theme still favors selective exposure to infrastructure and cloud leaders but requires tighter risk controls given the 50-day downtrends across the chip supply chain and Mag 7.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -3.1% +3.4% -4.1% BELOW
Chip Supply Chain -4.5% -2.3% -4.8% BELOW
Infrastructure -4.8% -2.9% -11.5% BELOW
Enterprise Software -2.8% +2.5% -3.5% BELOW
Finance -1.0% +3.5% -4.1% BELOW
Healthcare -1.0% -0.3% +1.2% BELOW
Retail +0.2% +1.7% -10.4% BELOW
IT Services +0.5% +3.1% -7.0% BELOW
Airlines -1.3% +3.8% -17.5% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel -0.1% +2.3% -7.0% BELOW
Food & Restaurant +2.2% +0.4% -6.3% BELOW
Logistics +1.0% -3.1% -5.4% BELOW
Industrial +0.0% +1.3% +0.6% BELOW
Cybersecurity -2.7% +1.7% +2.2% BELOW
Chip Equipment -2.3% -2.7% -0.8% BELOW
Data Center REITs -1.3% -1.9% -6.5% BELOW
Utilities +1.4% -1.8% +1.1% ABOVE
Energy +1.3% +2.0% +7.3% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace +0.2% -1.1% +3.5% ABOVE
Telecom +1.4% +2.1% +1.5% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -1.7% +2.0% -4.3% BELOW
Biotech +0.5% +0.1% -0.9% ABOVE
Materials +0.8% +0.8% -2.5% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.0% +2.2% -6.1% BELOW

Sector Strength

Food & Restaurant +2.2% 20d: -6.3%
Starbucks (SBUX) +2.2% (20d: -14.4%) [<50MA], McDonald's (MCD) +2.2% (20d: +1.8%)
Telecom +1.4% 20d: +1.5%
Verizon (VZ) +1.6% (20d: +2.1%), T-Mobile (TMUS) +1.5% (20d: -0.3%), AT&T (T) +1.2% (20d: +2.8%)
Utilities +1.4% 20d: +1.1%
NextEra Energy (NEE) +1.7% (20d: +1.3%) [<50MA], Southern Co (SO) +1.5% (20d: +0.9%), Duke Energy (DUK) +0.9% (20d: +1.1%)
Energy +1.3% 20d: +7.3%
Exxon Mobil (XOM) +1.4% (20d: +7.4%), Chevron (CVX) +1.2% (20d: +7.2%)
Logistics +1.0% 20d: -5.4%
FedEx (FDX) +1.1% (20d: -5.2%) [<50MA], UPS +1.0% (20d: -5.6%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Infrastructure -4.8% 20d: -11.5% CRITICAL
Vertiv (VRT) -10.9% (20d: -11.6%) [<50MA], Super Micro (SMCI) -8.9% (20d: -13.8%) [<50MA], Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -2.7% (20d: -18.3%) [<50MA]
Chip Supply Chain -4.5% 20d: -4.8%
ARM Holdings (ARM) -7.5% (20d: -11.8%) [<50MA], Marvell (MRVL) -6.9% (20d: -23.8%) [<50MA], Broadcom (AVGO) -4.8% (20d: -9.1%) [<50MA]
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -3.1% 20d: -4.1%
NVIDIA (NVDA) -5.7% (20d: -5.3%) [<50MA], Tesla (TSLA) -5.6% (20d: -3.5%) [<50MA], Alphabet (GOOG) -3.3% (20d: -1.7%) [<50MA]
Enterprise Software -2.8% 20d: -3.5%
Palantir (PLTR) -4.4% (20d: +8.9%), ServiceNow (NOW) -2.7% (20d: -8.9%) [<50MA], Salesforce (CRM) -2.6% (20d: -4.7%) [<50MA]
Cybersecurity -2.7% 20d: +2.2%
CrowdStrike (CRWD) -3.5% (20d: -2.3%) [<50MA], Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -2.6% (20d: -1.4%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) -1.9% (20d: +10.2%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain: The sector underperformed sharply, down 4.5% on the day and -11.0% versus the 50-day moving average, a confirmed downtrend across the 50-day window. Marvell (MRVL) fell 6.9% to $66.49 and ARM Holdings (ARM) dropped 7.5% to $114.93, both showing clear 50-day weakness that reflects softer demand expectations and inventory digestion. This 50-day context elevates downside risk for suppliers and equipment vendors, and suggests positioning should favor high-quality balance sheets over cyclical exposure until a sustained reversal above the 50-day mark appears.

Infrastructure & Data Center Hardware: Infrastructure led the alert list with a 20-day decline of -11.5% and a 50-day gap of -10.1%, punctuated by heavy losses in key names. Super Micro (SMCI) tumbled 8.9% to $37.04 and Vertiv (VRT) plunged 10.9% to $81.50, both trading well below their 50-day averages and signaling deteriorating demand for on-prem hardware. Given the 50-day downtrend, investors should be cautious adding cyclicals here and instead look for earnings or backlog evidence that stabilizes the revenue trajectory before increasing exposure.

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) & Enterprise Software: The Mag 7 basket declined 3.1% today and sits -10.4% below its 50-day moving average, indicating a substantive rotation away from headline AI winners. NVIDIA (NVDA) at $113.60 and Tesla (TSLA) at $272.06 were notable laggards with NVDA down 5.7% and TSLA down 5.6%, both confirming negative 50-day trends. Enterprise Software also softened, down 2.8% on the day and only +1.1% versus the 50-day average, suggesting caution on multiple fronts—allocate to select cloud names with durable revenue and margin profiles rather than broad software beta until 50-day momentum improves.

Utilities & Telecom Defensive Breadth: Utilities finished the day up 1.4% and remain above the 50-day moving average by 7.8%, offering a defensive anchor as equity breadth compresses. NextEra Energy (NEE) rose 1.7% to $67.22 and Southern Co (SO) gained 1.5% to $85.52, both holding constructive 50-day context compared with many cyclical sectors. Telecom also outperformed, with Verizon (VZ) up 1.6% at $40.05 and the sector +21.7% vs its 50-day average, reinforcing that rotating to high-quality, dividend-oriented names can buffer portfolios amid the current 50-day weakness in growth and chip-related sectors.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 5 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 19 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 17 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Infrastructure down -11.5% over 20 days
HIGH Retail down -10.4% over 20 days
HIGH Airlines down -17.5% over 20 days
HIGH Airlines down -27.5% over 50 days
HIGH 9 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Infrastructure, Retail, IT Services, Airlines, Hospitality & Travel, Food & Restaurant, Logistics, Data Center REITs, Analog & Embedded Chips
HIGH 6 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Chip Supply Chain, Infrastructure, Airlines, Logistics, Data Center REITs

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AAPL $220.37 -1.0% +3.5% -6.6% -4.9% BELOW 1
MSFT $386.17 -1.3% +0.8% -0.7% -6.0% BELOW 1
AMZN $201.13 -2.2% +3.2% -3.6% -7.6% BELOW 1
META $608.52 -2.4% +4.3% -7.1% +2.9% BELOW 1
GOOG $166.46 -3.3% +1.3% -1.7% -12.4% BELOW 1
TSLA $272.06 -5.6% +15.2% -3.5% -31.4% BELOW 1
NVDA $113.60 -5.7% -4.0% -5.3% -13.7% BELOW 2
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
QCOM $154.19 -1.1% +0.3% +3.1% -0.2% BELOW 1
INTC $23.42 -3.2% -2.3% +1.4% +22.0% ABOVE 3
AMD $110.19 -4.0% +2.8% +10.7% -5.1% ABOVE 1
TSM $170.98 -4.1% -2.2% -3.8% -13.5% BELOW 2
AVGO $177.55 -4.8% -5.9% -9.1% -20.0% BELOW 3
MRVL $66.49 -6.9% -5.3% -23.8% -42.0% BELOW 2
ARM $114.93 -7.5% -3.5% -11.8% -17.9% BELOW 2
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CSCO $59.79 +1.3% +1.9% -3.1% +4.2% BELOW 0
DELL $94.21 -2.6% -2.7% -10.7% -11.4% BELOW 2
HPE $15.63 -2.7% -0.2% -18.3% -28.1% BELOW 1
SMCI $37.04 -8.9% -5.3% -13.8% +21.3% BELOW 3
VRT $81.50 -10.9% -8.4% -11.6% -36.7% BELOW 2
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ADBE $397.81 -1.4% +2.1% -9.0% -3.6% BELOW 1
CRM $277.75 -2.6% +0.7% -4.7% -13.2% BELOW 1
NOW $167.71 -2.7% +1.8% -8.9% -18.7% BELOW 1
PLTR $92.28 -4.4% +5.6% +8.9% +40.0% ABOVE 2
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $243.64 -0.0% +5.0% -3.1% +1.4% BELOW 1
GS $559.80 -2.1% +2.0% -5.1% +0.9% BELOW 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $501.13 +0.9% +1.3% +11.1% -4.3% ABOVE 0
LLY $819.27 -3.0% -1.9% -8.7% +11.2% BELOW 2
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $84.30 +0.5% -0.4% -11.7% -5.9% BELOW 0
COST $923.34 -0.1% +3.8% -9.0% +1.5% BELOW 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $301.86 +0.7% +3.4% -12.8% -10.5% BELOW 0
IBM $242.48 +0.2% +2.9% -1.1% +15.7% ABOVE 0
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $47.24 -1.2% +2.4% -19.5% -27.3% BELOW 2
UAL $77.87 -1.3% +5.2% -15.5% -27.7% BELOW 2
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $243.93 +0.1% +0.8% -11.0% -10.5% BELOW 0
BKNG $188.64 -0.3% +3.8% -2.9% -0.1% BELOW 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $94.78 +2.2% -1.3% -14.4% +5.8% BELOW 0
MCD $304.43 +2.2% +2.1% +1.8% +12.0% ABOVE 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $191.36 +1.1% -1.0% -5.2% -11.7% BELOW 0
UPS $102.19 +1.0% -5.1% -5.6% -10.5% BELOW 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $205.11 +0.5% +1.1% +0.9% -1.9% BELOW 0
CAT $335.84 -0.4% +1.4% +0.3% -7.9% BELOW 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ZS $211.55 -1.9% +3.9% +10.2% +14.5% ABOVE 1
PANW $184.96 -2.6% +0.5% -1.4% +8.4% BELOW 1
CRWD $92.85 -3.5% +0.6% -2.3% +6.7% BELOW 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMAT $149.16 -1.9% -2.4% -3.8% -13.0% BELOW 2
LRCX $75.53 -2.0% -1.8% +0.3% +1.7% BELOW 2
ASML $698.11 -2.9% -3.9% +1.2% -3.9% BELOW 2
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $808.22 -1.2% -2.4% -8.7% -7.0% BELOW 2
DLR $144.20 -1.3% -1.3% -4.2% -13.4% BELOW 2
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $67.22 +1.7% -2.0% +1.3% +3.4% BELOW 0
SO $85.52 +1.5% -1.0% +0.9% +9.5% ABOVE 0
DUK $112.14 +0.9% -2.5% +1.1% +10.6% ABOVE 0
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $113.57 +1.4% +2.0% +7.4% +8.8% ABOVE 0
CVX $159.28 +1.2% +1.9% +7.2% +8.2% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GD $262.10 +0.8% +1.5% +7.1% +2.2% ABOVE 0
LMT $430.51 +0.7% -4.6% +0.4% -7.4% BELOW 0
RTX $131.55 -1.0% -0.1% +2.9% +13.0% ABOVE 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VZ $40.05 +1.6% +1.0% +2.1% +15.4% ABOVE 0
TMUS $256.71 +1.5% +2.1% -0.3% +23.0% ABOVE 0
T $25.87 +1.2% +3.2% +2.8% +26.8% ABOVE 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $98.92 -0.8% +1.9% -9.5% -6.8% BELOW 1
NFLX $97.07 -2.7% +2.1% +0.8% +17.2% ABOVE 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $105.74 +1.3% +3.2% -1.7% +20.9% ABOVE 0
AMGN $294.19 -0.4% -3.0% -0.0% +15.4% ABOVE 3
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $453.85 +0.9% +0.8% +0.6% +8.4% ABOVE 0
APD $284.04 +0.7% +0.8% -5.5% -4.1% BELOW 0
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $177.94 +0.3% +2.1% -3.6% -4.0% BELOW 0
MCHP $50.40 -0.4% +2.3% -8.7% -7.6% BELOW 2

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 10.9% to $81.50. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 8.9% to $37.04. ARM Holdings (ARM) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 7.5% to $114.93. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 6.9% to $66.49. NVIDIA (NVDA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 5.7% to $113.60. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 6 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

The near-term outlook is cautious: active alerts highlight six sectors down more than 10% over the 50-day window and nine sectors declining over 20 days, signaling a breadth-driven risk-off posture in the S&P 500. With only 5 sectors above their 50-day moving averages and 19 below, investors should reduce index-beta and favor quality defensives and cash-managed exposure while looking for clear 50-day trend reversals. Tactical positioning should prioritize risk controls, trim exposure to chip supply chain and infrastructure names until they reclaim the 50-day, and consider opportunistic buys in Utilities and Telecom where 50-day context remains intact.

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