US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Monday, February 03, 2025 MIXED

The US stock market opened with a risk-off tone as Logistics weakness and renewed profit-taking in the Magnificent 7 set the tone for the session. Logistics led losses after FedEx (FDX) fell 6.6% and the sector sits 15.8% below its 50-day, while Tesla (TSLA) sank 5.2% and the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) group was down 1.8% on the day. Retail and Telecom bucked the weakness—Costco (COST) gained 2.6% and T-Mobile (TMUS) added 2.2%—helping keep the S&P 500 from a broader decline. Today’s action left sector breadth mixed, with 12 sectors above their 50-day and 12 below, and notable volatility concentrated in Infrastructure, Logistics and Chip-related names.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.54%

stable

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$73.16

+0.9% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

18.6

+13.3% 1D

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Healthy Uptrend

54%

37 of 68 above 50DMA · -8.8pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Caution

0.75

Call-Heavy · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI-related positioning showed a bifurcated market: Meta (META) traded higher at $694.03 as investors rewarded ad-driven AI monetization, while NVIDIA (NVDA) weakened to $116.49 amid a 20-day rolloff and a 50-day decline that has pressured sentiment. Chip supply chain stress—exemplified by Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) at $196.13 slipping 4.5%—and softer enterprise software breadth (Enterprise Software below its 50-day) suggest the AI hardware-to-software trade remains sensitive to short-term rotation. The thesis remains that infrastructure investment and enterprise software adoption should benefit over the medium term, but near-term entry points depend on stabilization across NVDA, MSFT and major equipment suppliers.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	-1.8%	-2.8%	-1.3%	BELOW
Chip Supply Chain	-1.6%	+2.1%	-1.6%	ABOVE
Infrastructure	-3.1%	-0.4%	-9.7%	BELOW
Enterprise Software	+0.3%	-3.8%	+0.9%	BELOW
Finance	-0.7%	-0.5%	+9.6%	ABOVE
Healthcare	+0.5%	+0.9%	+5.2%	ABOVE
Retail	+2.0%	+3.6%	+9.7%	ABOVE
IT Services	+1.0%	+8.7%	+13.2%	ABOVE
Airlines	-1.1%	-1.6%	+11.1%	ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel	-0.5%	+0.4%	+0.6%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	+0.5%	+3.7%	+7.6%	BELOW
Logistics	-4.6%	-14.5%	-10.0%	BELOW
Industrial	-1.6%	-3.3%	-1.0%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	-0.8%	-3.4%	+6.0%	ABOVE
Chip Equipment	-1.0%	+6.0%	+4.7%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	-0.7%	+0.2%	-7.9%	BELOW
Utilities	+0.1%	+1.0%	+1.9%	BELOW
Energy	+0.2%	-2.6%	+0.1%	BELOW
Defense & Aerospace	-0.3%	-0.5%	+1.5%	BELOW
Telecom	+2.0%	+2.0%	+6.0%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	+0.5%	+1.2%	+6.8%	ABOVE
Biotech	+1.2%	+3.9%	+9.1%	ABOVE
Materials	+1.3%	+3.8%	+14.5%	ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips	-2.9%	-3.1%	-6.9%	BELOW

Sector Strength

Retail +2.0% 20d: +9.7%

Costco (COST) +2.6% (20d: +9.7%), Walmart (WMT) +1.4% (20d: +9.6%)

Telecom +2.0% 20d: +6.0%

T-Mobile (TMUS) +2.2% (20d: +8.7%), AT&T (T) +2.2% (20d: +8.3%), Verizon (VZ) +1.5% (20d: +1.1%) [<50MA]

Materials +1.3% 20d: +14.5%

Linde (LIN) +1.8% (20d: +9.8%), Air Products (APD) +0.8% (20d: +19.1%)

Biotech +1.2% 20d: +9.1%

Gilead (GILD) +1.2% (20d: +7.6%), Amgen (AMGN) +1.2% (20d: +10.6%)

IT Services +1.0% 20d: +13.2%

IBM +2.0% (20d: +17.1%), Accenture (ACN) +0.1% (20d: +9.3%)

Sector Warnings

Logistics -4.6% 20d: -10.0%

FedEx (FDX) -6.6% (20d: -9.9%) [<50MA], UPS -2.6% (20d: -10.1%) [<50MA]

Infrastructure -3.1% 20d: -9.7%

Super Micro (SMCI) -5.9% (20d: -19.4%) [<50MA], Vertiv (VRT) -3.8% (20d: -10.4%) [<50MA], Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -3.4% (20d: -6.2%) [<50MA]

Analog & Embedded Chips -2.9% 20d: -6.9%

Microchip Technology (MCHP) -3.8% (20d: -9.4%) [<50MA], Texas Instruments (TXN) -2.0% (20d: -4.3%) [<50MA]

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -1.8% 20d: -1.3%

Tesla (TSLA) -5.2% (20d: -6.5%) [<50MA], Apple (AAPL) -3.4% (20d: -6.3%) [<50MA], NVIDIA (NVDA) -2.8% (20d: -19.2%) [<50MA]

Industrial -1.6% 20d: -1.0%

Caterpillar (CAT) -2.7% (20d: -0.3%) [<50MA], Honeywell (HON) -0.6% (20d: -1.8%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Infrastructure and Logistics suffered the session’s largest downside signals and remain primary areas of risk on a 50-day horizon. Vertiv (VRT) traded at $112.39 and Infrastructure peers such as Super Micro (SMCI) at $26.85 led losses, leaving the Infrastructure sector -9.5% versus its 50-day and Logistics -15.8% versus its 50-day. Those 50-day trends are deteriorating, with Infrastructure and Logistics among the four sectors flagged down more than 5% over 20 days, signaling tactical caution for cyclical exposure until a clear 50-day stabilization is visible.

Chip Supply Chain and Chip Equipment diverged intraday but show stress over the intermediate 50-day window. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) finished at $196.13, down 4.5% today, and the Chip Supply Chain sector is trading above its 50-day overall but with NVDA weakness creating dispersion; NVIDIA (NVDA) is at $116.49 and remains 20.6% below its 50-day. Chip Equipment sits above its 50-day, yet the 50-day context highlights increased volatility—buyers should favor names with sustained 50-day support and avoid names breaking that moving average.

IT Services and Enterprise Software presented a mixed picture relative to their 50-day trends. IBM (IBM) rallied 2.0% to $250.88, supporting IT Services which is 16.7% above its 50-day and up 1.0% today, while Enterprise Software is trading below its 50-day despite a modest 0.3% gain for the group. The 50-day strength in IT Services suggests selective resilience in outsourcing and cloud services, but the below-50-day positioning in Enterprise Software argues for stock-specific selection and waiting for a 50-day re-acceleration before widening exposure.

Retail, Telecom and Materials provided defensive and rotation opportunities against the broader pullback away from megacap AI names. Costco (COST) rallied 2.6% to $997.80 and Retail remains 11.7% above its 50-day, while T-Mobile (TMUS) at $232.06 and AT&T (T) at $22.69 each climbed 2.2% with Telecom 2.5% above its 50-day. Materials strength—Linde (LIN) rose 1.8% to $445.27 and the sector stands 3.1% above its 50-day—supports a tactical shift into economically sensitive yet 50-day-positive groups if macro data remains constructive.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 12 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 12 are below. An even split above and below the 50-day MA suggests the market lacks directional conviction. Watch for a decisive shift in sector rotation to confirm the next trend.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Logistics down -15.8% over 50 days

HIGH 4 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Infrastructure, Logistics, Data Center REITs, Analog & Embedded Chips

MEDIUM NVDA down -21.9% from 20-day high

LOW Logistics below 50-day MA with avg 5 consecutive down days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
META	$694.03	+1.2%	+3.4%	+15.4%	+24.4%	ABOVE	0
AMZN	$237.42	-0.1%	-0.3%	+5.9%	+16.0%	ABOVE	1
MSFT	$406.10	-1.0%	-8.1%	-2.9%	-1.4%	BELOW	1
GOOG	$201.59	-1.4%	+2.8%	+4.9%	+13.0%	ABOVE	1
NVDA	$116.49	-2.8%	-9.6%	-19.2%	-20.6%	BELOW	2
AAPL	$226.56	-3.4%	-4.3%	-6.3%	-0.1%	BELOW	3
TSLA	$383.68	-5.2%	-3.6%	-6.5%	+10.9%	BELOW	1

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MRVL	$113.10	+0.6%	+9.3%	-3.9%	+27.2%	ABOVE	0
INTC	$19.38	-0.3%	-2.1%	-5.7%	-19.9%	BELOW	2
AMD	$114.27	-1.4%	+0.1%	-8.9%	-18.0%	BELOW	2
QCOM	$164.84	-1.6%	-0.8%	+7.9%	+3.9%	ABOVE	1
AVGO	$214.99	-1.6%	+5.0%	-6.4%	+32.0%	ABOVE	1
ARM	$155.65	-2.4%	+4.1%	+10.3%	+17.0%	ABOVE	1
TSM	$196.13	-4.5%	-1.3%	-4.2%	+5.7%	BELOW	1

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CSCO	$59.05	+0.7%	+2.7%	+3.7%	+7.8%	ABOVE	0
DELL	$97.96	-3.4%	-1.2%	-16.2%	-26.1%	BELOW	2
HPE	$19.74	-3.4%	-4.7%	-6.2%	-4.4%	BELOW	1
VRT	$112.39	-3.8%	+5.7%	-10.4%	-20.1%	BELOW	1
SMCI	$26.85	-5.9%	-4.7%	-19.4%	-5.0%	BELOW	2

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PLTR	$83.74	+1.5%	+4.4%	+4.8%	+33.0%	ABOVE	0
ADBE	$438.60	+0.3%	-1.0%	+1.9%	-12.2%	BELOW	0
NOW	$204.19	+0.3%	-12.8%	-4.9%	-0.1%	BELOW	0
CRM	$335.33	-0.7%	-5.8%	+1.9%	+5.0%	ABOVE	4

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
JPM	$258.95	-0.2%	-0.1%	+10.2%	+10.3%	ABOVE	2
GS	$613.77	-1.3%	-0.9%	+9.0%	+9.3%	ABOVE	2

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UNH	$527.86	+1.0%	+1.1%	+6.9%	-4.6%	ABOVE	0
LLY	$801.71	-0.1%	+0.7%	+3.6%	+11.1%	ABOVE	2

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
COST	$997.80	+2.6%	+4.9%	+9.7%	+8.1%	ABOVE	0
WMT	$98.21	+1.4%	+2.3%	+9.6%	+15.2%	ABOVE	0

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
IBM	$250.88	+2.0%	+15.5%	+17.1%	+24.0%	ABOVE	0
ACN	$373.70	+0.1%	+1.8%	+9.3%	+9.3%	ABOVE	0

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UAL	$104.83	-1.0%	-1.4%	+9.6%	+11.2%	ABOVE	2
DAL	$65.18	-1.2%	-1.7%	+12.7%	+2.7%	ABOVE	2

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MAR	$286.53	-0.0%	+0.6%	+5.5%	+4.2%	ABOVE	2
BKNG	$185.44	-0.9%	+0.2%	-4.3%	-5.6%	BELOW	2

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCD	$279.97	+0.5%	-0.4%	-1.6%	+0.4%	BELOW	0
SBUX	$104.08	+0.4%	+7.7%	+16.8%	+10.0%	ABOVE	0

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UPS	$101.00	-2.6%	-17.8%	-10.1%	-16.4%	BELOW	5
FDX	$193.19	-6.6%	-11.2%	-9.9%	-15.2%	BELOW	5

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
HON	$212.92	-0.6%	+0.8%	-1.8%	-2.5%	BELOW	2
CAT	$355.97	-2.7%	-7.4%	-0.3%	-5.1%	BELOW	3

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CRWD	$99.39	-0.1%	-2.7%	+10.7%	+12.5%	ABOVE	1
PANW	$182.79	-0.9%	-5.3%	-0.3%	-5.8%	BELOW	2
ZS	$200.00	-1.3%	-2.3%	+7.6%	-2.1%	ABOVE	2

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMAT	$176.59	-0.9%	+3.4%	+5.1%	+5.9%	ABOVE	2
LRCX	$79.31	-1.1%	+7.6%	+6.8%	+14.6%	ABOVE	1
ASML	$721.61	-1.1%	+7.0%	+2.3%	+10.4%	ABOVE	1

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
EQIX	$885.26	+0.1%	+0.9%	-4.7%	-0.9%	BELOW	0
DLR	$154.51	-1.5%	-0.4%	-11.2%	-13.2%	BELOW	2

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DUK	$107.40	+1.1%	+1.7%	+5.0%	-0.3%	ABOVE	0
SO	$79.96	+0.0%	+0.5%	+2.0%	-4.9%	BELOW	0
NEE	$67.94	-0.7%	+0.7%	-1.3%	-7.2%	BELOW	1

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
XOM	$101.92	+0.2%	-0.9%	-0.7%	-9.7%	BELOW	0
CVX	$140.06	+0.1%	-4.4%	+1.0%	-6.4%	BELOW	0

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
RTX	$126.59	+0.8%	+1.2%	+12.1%	+9.2%	ABOVE	0
GD	$249.47	-0.2%	-2.3%	-2.1%	-8.2%	BELOW	1
LMT	$437.20	-1.6%	-0.4%	-5.5%	-14.1%	BELOW	1

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
TMUS	$232.06	+2.2%	+7.7%	+8.7%	+2.5%	ABOVE
T	$22.69	+2.2%	-0.6%	+8.3%	+8.0%	ABOVE
VZ	$36.25	+1.5%	-1.0%	+1.1%	-3.0%	BELOW

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DIS	$111.90	+0.8%	+1.7%	+2.6%	+1.9%	ABOVE	0
NFLX	$97.89	+0.2%	+0.7%	+11.1%	+12.4%	ABOVE	0

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GILD	$94.54	+1.2%	+4.8%	+7.6%	+13.1%	ABOVE	0
AMGN	$275.76	+1.2%	+3.1%	+10.6%	+3.2%	ABOVE	0

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LIN	$445.27	+1.8%	+4.3%	+9.8%	+2.6%	ABOVE	0
APD	$325.22	+0.8%	+3.4%	+19.1%	+3.7%	ABOVE	0

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TXN	$174.51	-2.0%	+0.9%	-4.3%	-9.3%	BELOW	1
MCHP	$50.11	-3.8%	-7.1%	-9.4%	-18.9%	BELOW	5

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: FedEx (FDX) (Logistics) fell 6.6% to $193.19. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 5.9% to $26.85. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 5.2% to $383.68. TSMC (TSM) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 4.5% to $196.13. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 3.8% to $112.39. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 2 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near term, watch the four active high/medium alerts—Logistics, Infrastructure, Data Center REITs and Analog & Embedded Chips—that are declining through the 50-day window and contributing to uneven S&P 500 breadth. With 12 sectors above their 50-day and 12 below, breadth is neutral-to-fragile; alert counts and the NVDA 20-day/50-day deterioration argue for defensive positioning until a re-accumulation above key 50-day levels occurs. Traders should trim cyclicals with broken 50-day trends, consider hedged exposure to AI beneficiaries that remain above their 50-day, and selectively add to retail and telecom names that showed 50-day strength today.

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