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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Monday, January 27, 2025 BULLISH

The US stock market opened on a risk-off note after a sharp sell-off in semiconductor names led by NVIDIA (NVDA) which dropped 17.0% to $118.24, dragging the Chip Supply Chain sector down 9.9% and knocking Data Center REITs lower by 6.5%. The move rippled through the S&P 500 as Mag 7 (AI Spenders) fell 2.9% on the day, though the group remains above its 50-day at +5.4% for the cohort. Defensive and income-oriented sectors held up: Utilities rose 2.5% and Telecom jumped 3.4%, led by AT&T (T) climbing 6.3% to $22.59. Today's action was dominated by headline semiconductor weakness and an outsized move in a handful of large-cap AI names that set intra-day tone across sector analysis.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.53%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$73.17
-2.0% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
17.9
+20.5% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Pause Discretionary Adds
63%
43 of 68 above 50DMA · +17.6pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI-related positioning cooled sharply after heavy losses in key chip suppliers, with Mag 7 (AI Spenders) names showing divergent reactions: Apple (AAPL) rallied 3.2% to $228.40 while NVIDIA (NVDA) plunged to $118.24. The sell-off in the Chip Supply Chain and Chip Equipment groups highlights near-term sensitivity in the chip supply chain even as infrastructure spending narratives persist. Enterprise Software and IT Services — represented by Salesforce (CRM) rising to $343.10 and broader IT Services strength — still offer incremental exposure to AI-driven enterprise modernization without the same hardware cyclicality.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.9% -1.6% -4.1% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -9.9% -9.0% -3.5% BELOW
Infrastructure -12.4% -10.3% -7.4% BELOW
Enterprise Software +0.4% +3.5% -1.3% ABOVE
Finance -0.1% +0.4% +9.4% ABOVE
Healthcare +2.5% +6.2% +4.0% BELOW
Retail +2.8% +3.2% +3.0% ABOVE
IT Services +1.3% +2.3% +1.8% ABOVE
Airlines +1.3% -2.1% +7.2% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -0.2% +1.7% -3.9% BELOW
Food & Restaurant +1.9% +2.9% +4.2% ABOVE
Logistics +2.7% +2.4% +4.4% BELOW
Industrial -0.6% -0.3% +2.7% BELOW
Cybersecurity -0.2% +1.6% +1.6% BELOW
Chip Equipment -5.8% -8.7% +0.9% ABOVE
Data Center REITs -6.5% -6.9% -6.7% BELOW
Utilities +2.5% +2.7% +3.5% ABOVE
Energy +1.2% -0.9% +6.3% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace +0.8% -0.6% +3.8% ABOVE
Telecom +3.4% +4.1% +3.0% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment +0.2% +8.0% +2.9% ABOVE
Biotech +2.6% +2.8% +4.3% ABOVE
Materials -0.4% +0.7% +7.5% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips +1.2% -3.2% -2.3% BELOW

Sector Strength

Telecom +3.4% 20d: +3.0%
AT&T (T) +6.3% (20d: +6.5%), Verizon (VZ) +2.8% (20d: +3.5%), T-Mobile (TMUS) +1.3% (20d: -1.0%) [<50MA]
Retail +2.8% 20d: +3.0%
Walmart (WMT) +2.8% (20d: +5.0%), Costco (COST) +2.7% (20d: +1.0%)
Logistics +2.7% 20d: +4.4%
FedEx (FDX) +3.0% (20d: +1.0%) [<50MA], UPS +2.4% (20d: +7.8%)
Biotech +2.6% 20d: +4.3%
Amgen (AMGN) +2.7% (20d: +7.5%), Gilead (GILD) +2.4% (20d: +1.0%)
Utilities +2.5% 20d: +3.5%
Southern Co (SO) +3.6% (20d: +4.4%), Duke Energy (DUK) +2.5% (20d: +4.0%), NextEra Energy (NEE) +1.4% (20d: +2.0%)

Sector Warnings

Infrastructure -12.4% 20d: -7.4%
Vertiv (VRT) -29.9% (20d: -13.7%) [<50MA], Super Micro (SMCI) -12.6% (20d: -13.8%) [<50MA], Dell (DELL) -8.7% (20d: -12.6%) [<50MA]
Chip Supply Chain -9.9% 20d: -3.5%
Marvell (MRVL) -19.1% (20d: -13.2%) [<50MA], Broadcom (AVGO) -17.4% (20d: -17.6%) [<50MA], TSMC (TSM) -13.3% (20d: -5.3%) [<50MA]
Data Center REITs -6.5% 20d: -6.7%
Digital Realty (DLR) -8.7% (20d: -8.2%) [<50MA], Equinix (EQIX) -4.3% (20d: -5.1%) [<50MA]
Chip Equipment -5.8% 20d: +0.9%
Applied Materials (AMAT) -6.5% (20d: +4.2%), ASML -5.7% (20d: -3.6%) [<50MA], Lam Research (LRCX) -5.1% (20d: +2.2%)
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.9% 20d: -4.1%
NVIDIA (NVDA) -17.0% (20d: -15.4%) [<50MA], Alphabet (GOOG) -4.0% (20d: -1.7%), Tesla (TSLA) -2.3% (20d: -12.5%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain took center stage, falling 9.9% on the day with TSMC (TSM) down 13.3% to $188.78, Broadcom (AVGO) off 17.4% to $199.58 and Marvell (MRVL) plunging 19.1% to $99.92; the group sits slightly below its 50-day at -0.4% and has been negative over the 20-day window by -3.5%, signaling a clear 50-day trend test for semiconductor suppliers. NVDA's 17.0% drop to $118.24 compounded the pain and generated a medium alert (NVDA down -20.8% from 20-day high), underscoring how a single mega-cap hardware mover can reset risk appetite across the chip supply chain.

Infrastructure and Data Center-linked names were under pressure: Infrastructure fell 12.4% on the session with Vertiv (VRT) collapsing 29.9% to $102.41, leaving the sector below its 50-day despite a marginally positive 50-day delta of +0.2%; Data Center REITs declined 6.5% and sit -4.1% versus their 50-day, reflecting investor re-pricing of growth and capital intensity in the space. The 50-day window shows these groups are at or below key trend lines, amplifying volatility for any reopening of AI capex narratives.

Enterprise Software and IT Services showed resilience, with Enterprise Software up 0.4% and Salesforce (CRM) gaining 4.0% to $343.10 while IT Services rose 1.3% and remains above its 50-day at +5.1%; over the 50-day horizon this cohort has generally held above key trend levels, offering a less cyclically exposed route to capture enterprise AI spend. The sector's 20-day mixed performance (Enterprise Software 20d:-1.3% vs. IT Services 20d:+1.8%) suggests selective stock picking within software names is paramount when hardware-led volatility spikes.

Telecom and Utilities provided defensive ballast with Telecom up 3.4% led by AT&T (T) at $22.59 (+6.3%), and Utilities rising 2.5% with Southern Co (SO) at $82.36 (+3.6%); both sectors are above their 50-day averages (Telecom +1.9% vs. 50-day and Utilities +0.4% vs. 50-day), highlighting rotation into dividend-rich, lower-volatility pockets amid the tech-led pullback. These sector moves show how investors sought shelter in steady cash-flow names on a risk-off day.

Logistics and Retail diverged: Logistics climbed 2.7% but remains below its 50-day at -2.2%, while Retail advanced 2.8% and is comfortably above its 50-day at +9.2%; FedEx (FDX) at $219.89 rose 3.0% as transportation flows held up despite broader industrial weakness. Over the 50-day window Retail's strength versus Logistics' underperformance emphasizes consumer resilience against a backdrop of selective supply-chain stress.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 14 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 10 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 17 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

MEDIUM NVDA down -20.8% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AAPL $228.40 +3.2% +3.2% -11.3% +2.5% BELOW 0
META $656.63 +1.9% +7.0% +9.4% +12.9% ABOVE 0
AMZN $235.42 +0.2% +2.0% +3.7% +12.7% ABOVE 0
MSFT $429.47 -2.1% +1.4% -0.8% +2.9% ABOVE 2
TSLA $397.15 -2.3% -6.3% -12.5% +20.9% ABOVE 5
GOOG $192.77 -4.0% -2.9% -1.7% +5.8% ABOVE 1
NVDA $118.24 -17.0% -15.9% -15.4% -20.1% BELOW 2
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
QCOM $165.75 -0.5% +2.3% +8.0% +5.3% ABOVE 2
INTC $20.29 -2.6% -6.8% -0.7% -16.0% BELOW 3
AMD $115.01 -6.4% -5.9% -8.0% -19.9% BELOW 3
ARM $145.96 -10.2% -6.0% +12.5% +4.3% ABOVE 3
TSM $188.78 -13.3% -12.1% -5.3% +0.6% BELOW 2
AVGO $199.58 -17.4% -15.9% -17.6% +15.0% BELOW 1
MRVL $99.92 -19.1% -18.9% -13.2% +8.2% BELOW 2
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CSCO $57.15 -5.1% -3.2% -0.8% +1.3% ABOVE 1
HPE $22.14 -5.8% -3.2% +4.2% +6.3% ABOVE 1
DELL $101.63 -8.7% -6.5% -12.6% -23.6% BELOW 3
SMCI $29.07 -12.6% -10.4% -13.8% +34.0% BELOW 3
VRT $102.41 -29.9% -28.3% -13.7% -17.1% BELOW 2
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRM $343.10 +4.0% +6.2% +1.6% +1.9% ABOVE 0
NOW $228.12 +1.4% +4.0% +3.8% +8.8% ABOVE 0
ADBE $438.60 +0.7% +0.5% -2.6% -16.7% BELOW 0
PLTR $75.44 -4.5% +3.2% -8.2% +26.0% ABOVE 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $258.02 +0.4% +1.1% +9.9% +11.5% ABOVE 0
GS $614.66 -0.6% -0.2% +9.0% +7.4% ABOVE 2
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $799.47 +2.9% +8.9% +1.8% -1.1% ABOVE 0
UNH $523.38 +2.1% +3.5% +6.3% -11.2% BELOW 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $96.10 +2.8% +4.6% +5.0% +14.9% ABOVE 0
COST $957.54 +2.7% +1.8% +1.0% +3.5% ABOVE 0
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $362.00 +3.0% +4.7% +4.0% +3.9% ABOVE 0
IBM $215.66 -0.3% -0.1% -0.3% +6.3% ABOVE 2
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $106.74 +1.7% -3.4% +5.8% +19.8% ABOVE 0
DAL $66.44 +0.9% -0.8% +8.6% +5.8% ABOVE 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $284.15 +1.4% +3.7% +0.5% +0.9% ABOVE 0
BKNG $184.75 -1.9% -0.2% -8.3% -6.8% BELOW 2
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $282.90 +2.7% +3.7% -0.6% -1.3% ABOVE 0
SBUX $96.24 +1.2% +2.1% +8.9% +1.9% ABOVE 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $219.89 +3.0% +2.2% +1.0% -1.5% BELOW 0
UPS $123.66 +2.4% +2.6% +7.8% +6.0% ABOVE 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $216.07 +1.9% +0.3% -2.7% -3.0% BELOW 0
CAT $388.88 -3.1% -0.8% +8.0% +0.9% ABOVE 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $189.30 +0.9% +3.2% +0.4% -4.9% BELOW 0
CRWD $93.44 -0.3% +2.0% +2.4% +8.8% ABOVE 3
ZS $191.24 -1.2% -0.3% +1.9% -8.5% BELOW 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $74.80 -5.1% -7.2% +2.2% +0.2% ABOVE 3
ASML $681.23 -5.7% -9.5% -3.6% +3.1% BELOW 3
AMAT $172.41 -6.5% -9.5% +4.2% -6.2% ABOVE 3
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $870.84 -4.3% -3.6% -5.1% +0.1% BELOW 2
DLR $157.68 -8.7% -10.3% -8.2% -8.3% BELOW 2
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SO $82.36 +3.6% +2.1% +4.4% -0.6% ABOVE 0
DUK $106.85 +2.5% +1.7% +4.0% +1.6% ABOVE 0
NEE $70.59 +1.4% +4.2% +2.0% +0.1% ABOVE 0
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $104.85 +1.4% -1.2% +3.5% -7.7% BELOW 0
CVX $147.46 +1.0% -0.6% +9.2% +2.3% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $483.54 +1.4% -0.5% +2.8% -10.4% ABOVE 0
GD $262.35 +1.3% -0.7% +1.7% -13.1% BELOW 0
RTX $121.85 -0.2% -0.6% +6.8% +1.9% ABOVE 2
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $22.59 +6.3% +7.3% +6.5% +10.4% ABOVE 0
VZ $36.84 +2.8% +4.2% +3.5% +2.4% ABOVE 0
TMUS $215.81 +1.3% +0.9% -1.0% -7.0% BELOW 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $111.25 +1.1% +4.3% +0.7% +12.7% ABOVE 0
NFLX $97.19 -0.6% +11.8% +5.2% +18.6% ABOVE 2
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $270.10 +2.7% +3.0% +7.5% -4.6% ABOVE 0
GILD $91.63 +2.4% +2.6% +1.0% +1.9% ABOVE 0
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $430.84 +0.1% -0.7% +3.6% -3.2% ABOVE 0
APD $314.20 -0.8% +2.1% +11.4% +5.6% ABOVE 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCHP $54.88 +1.5% -2.2% -2.1% -14.4% BELOW 0
TXN $179.06 +0.8% -4.2% -2.5% -12.1% BELOW 0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 29.9% to $102.41. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 19.1% to $99.92. Broadcom (AVGO) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 17.4% to $199.58. NVIDIA (NVDA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 17.0% to $118.24. TSMC (TSM) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 13.3% to $188.78. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

There are 1 medium-severity risk signals to monitor. While not requiring immediate action, keep an eye on the flagged sectors for further deterioration.

US Stock Market Outlook

Market breadth is mixed with 14 sectors above their 50-day and 10 below, and 14 sectors advancing today versus 9 lagging; active alerts center on NVIDIA (NVDA) with the NVDA down -20.8% from its 20-day high flag. The 50-day trends across chips and infrastructure are flashing caution while software, telecom and utilities retain constructive 50-day positioning. Positioning guidance: reduce high-beta chip supply chain exposure and short-term hardware cyclicality, while selectively adding to enterprise software and defensive yield names to hedge continued headline-driven volatility in the S&P 500.

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