> 2ndOcean_

US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Wednesday, September 18, 2024 MIXED

The US stock market traded mixed as a broad tech pullback and sector-specific weakness drove uneven sector action; Chip Equipment weakness led headlines after ASML fell 2.2% and the group is down 13.5% over 20 days. The S&P 500 held near session lows with 13 sectors lower and only 4 higher, while the Magnificent 7 cohort was essentially flat (-0.1%) with NVIDIA (NVDA) dragging after a 1.9% drop to $113.19. Defensive and travel pockets outperformed — Marriott (MAR) climbed 1.3% to $234.98 — while Intel (INTC) slid 3.3% to $20.77, weighing on the Chip Supply Chain. Today's moves reflect earnings- and tech-positioning dynamics that dominated sector analysis across the tape.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Neutral
3.70%
falling
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$70.91
-0.4% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
18.2
+3.5% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI-related positioning remained a mixed story: the Mag 7 group showed limited net movement with Microsoft (MSFT) edging down 1.0% to $424.91 even as NVIDIA (NVDA) fell to $113.19, highlighting divergent risk pricing inside the cohort. Strength in select infrastructure and chip-supply names such as ARM Holdings (ARM) rising 1.1% to $138.36 contrasts with steep weakness in chip equipment where capital-spend concerns pressure long-cycle suppliers. Enterprise software and cybersecurity sentiment cooled — Palo Alto Networks (PANW) slipped 2.4% to $164.88 — signaling investors are rotating from speculative AI-capex hopes toward nearer-term earnings visibility and infrastructure winners.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -0.1% -0.1% -1.5% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -0.9% -0.1% -1.5% ABOVE
Infrastructure -0.1% +2.8% -3.3% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -0.5% -2.2% +1.1% BELOW
Finance -0.5% +1.3% -2.6% BELOW
Healthcare +0.2% -2.1% -2.1% ABOVE
Retail +0.0% -1.6% +3.1% ABOVE
IT Services +0.1% -1.2% +4.9% ABOVE
Airlines +0.6% +6.3% +21.4% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel +0.5% +3.8% +7.2% ABOVE
Food & Restaurant -0.5% -1.6% +2.5% ABOVE
Logistics +0.1% +3.0% +2.5% ABOVE
Industrial -0.4% +1.5% +1.8% BELOW
Cybersecurity -1.4% +0.2% -8.8% BELOW
Chip Equipment -1.6% +0.5% -13.5% BELOW
Data Center REITs +0.0% -0.8% +5.9% ABOVE
Utilities -0.8% +0.5% +3.7% ABOVE
Energy +0.4% +3.2% -0.1% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace -0.4% -0.5% +2.1% ABOVE
Telecom -1.2% -0.7% +6.4% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -0.8% +2.7% +1.1% ABOVE
Biotech +0.5% +1.3% +6.9% ABOVE
Materials -1.1% +1.3% +2.9% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.6% +1.4% -5.5% BELOW

Sector Strength

Airlines +0.6% 20d: +21.4%
United (UAL) +0.6% (20d: +26.1%), Delta (DAL) +0.5% (20d: +16.8%)
Biotech +0.5% 20d: +6.9%
Gilead (GILD) +1.0% (20d: +12.7%), Amgen (AMGN) +0.0% (20d: +1.1%)
Hospitality & Travel +0.5% 20d: +7.2%
Marriott (MAR) +1.3% (20d: +6.3%), Booking (BKNG) -0.3% (20d: +8.0%)
Energy +0.4% 20d: -0.1%
Chevron (CVX) +0.4% (20d: -0.9%) [<50MA], Exxon Mobil (XOM) +0.4% (20d: +0.6%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Chip Equipment -1.6% 20d: -13.5% CRITICAL
ASML -2.2% (20d: -16.5%) [<50MA], Lam Research (LRCX) -1.3% (20d: -13.2%) [<50MA], Applied Materials (AMAT) -1.3% (20d: -10.8%) [<50MA]
Cybersecurity -1.4% 20d: -8.8%
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -2.4% (20d: -8.3%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) -1.1% (20d: -15.9%) [<50MA], CrowdStrike (CRWD) -0.6% (20d: -2.2%)
Telecom -1.2% 20d: +6.4%
T-Mobile (TMUS) -3.0% (20d: +1.0%), Verizon (VZ) -0.5% (20d: +6.9%), AT&T (T) -0.2% (20d: +11.2%)
Materials -1.1% 20d: +2.9%
Air Products (APD) -1.3% (20d: +4.3%), Linde (LIN) -1.0% (20d: +1.4%)
Chip Supply Chain -0.9% 20d: -1.5%
Intel (INTC) -3.3% (20d: -3.0%) [<50MA], AMD -1.7% (20d: -6.0%), Marvell (MRVL) -1.7% (20d: +0.3%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Equipment: The chip equipment sector is under active pressure with ASML falling 2.2% to $775.86 and the group down 13.5% over 20 days, triggering a high-severity alert. Over the 50-day window the sector is classified as BELOW the 50-day reference in our breadth read, and today's drop reinforced a negative 20-day momentum signal as investors reassess capital spending cadence across fabs.

Cybersecurity: Cybersecurity stocks showed meaningful weakness; Palo Alto Networks (PANW) dropped 2.4% to $164.88 while the sector average declined 1.4% today and is down 8.8% over 20 days. The 50-day context is BELOW for the group, and this underperformance has pushed Cybersecurity into the list of three sectors declining more than 5% over 20 days, suggesting investors are trimming higher multiple, near-term growth-exposed names.

Hospitality & Travel: Hospitality & Travel provided a bright spot as Marriott (MAR) rose 1.3% to $234.98 and the sector posted a 0.5% gain, +6.3% over five days and +21.4% over 20 days. The sector is ABOVE its 50-day benchmark, reflecting strong consumer resilience and positive 20-day momentum that contrasts with the more volatile technology capex trade.

Biotech: Biotech traded higher with Gilead (GILD) up 1.0% to $79.95 and the sector showing a modest 0.5% gain today and +6.9% over 20 days. The sector sits ABOVE the 50-day reference, and its relative stability amid broader tech weakness underscores defensive rotation into earnings-driven healthcare names.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 17 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 7 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 15 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Chip Equipment down -13.5% over 20 days
HIGH 3 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Cybersecurity, Chip Equipment, Analog & Embedded Chips

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AAPL $219.05 +1.8% -0.9% -2.5% N/A BELOW 0
GOOG $159.80 +0.3% +3.4% -3.9% N/A BELOW 0
META $534.87 +0.3% +2.4% +0.6% N/A ABOVE 0
AMZN $186.43 -0.2% -0.3% +3.5% N/A ABOVE 1
TSLA $227.20 -0.3% -1.1% +1.8% N/A ABOVE 1
MSFT $424.91 -1.0% +0.9% +1.6% N/A ABOVE 1
NVDA $113.19 -1.9% -4.8% -11.8% N/A BELOW 4
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ARM $138.36 +1.1% -0.6% +5.5% N/A ABOVE 0
TSM $163.69 -0.0% -2.4% -2.1% N/A ABOVE 3
QCOM $162.12 -0.2% +2.0% -2.9% N/A BELOW 1
AVGO $158.69 -0.5% -1.8% -2.5% N/A ABOVE 3
MRVL $71.16 -1.7% -3.7% +0.3% N/A ABOVE 3
AMD $148.29 -1.7% -1.6% -6.0% N/A ABOVE 3
INTC $20.77 -3.3% +7.3% -3.0% N/A BELOW 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HPE $17.42 +0.5% +8.5% -3.1% N/A BELOW 0
VRT $87.47 +0.4% +1.1% +12.4% N/A ABOVE 0
CSCO $48.22 -0.1% +1.9% +0.2% N/A ABOVE 2
SMCI $43.69 -0.6% -1.2% -30.0% N/A BELOW 3
DELL $112.67 -0.7% +3.4% +3.8% N/A ABOVE 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NOW $178.08 +0.5% +0.5% +6.1% N/A ABOVE 0
PLTR $36.38 -0.2% +4.2% +11.8% N/A ABOVE 1
CRM $249.24 -0.9% -0.2% -3.2% N/A BELOW 2
ADBE $508.13 -1.3% -13.4% -10.2% N/A BELOW 4
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $468.01 -0.2% +2.2% -1.8% N/A BELOW 1
JPM $199.16 -0.8% +0.5% -3.3% N/A BELOW 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $556.99 +0.5% -1.0% +0.8% N/A ABOVE 0
LLY $893.75 -0.1% -3.2% -4.9% N/A ABOVE 4
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $77.80 +0.5% -0.8% +5.0% N/A ABOVE 0
COST $884.22 -0.5% -2.5% +1.3% N/A ABOVE 3
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $205.20 +0.4% +1.6% +9.0% N/A ABOVE 0
ACN $323.44 -0.3% -3.9% +0.8% N/A ABOVE 2
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $52.96 +0.6% +6.7% +26.1% N/A ABOVE 0
DAL $45.87 +0.5% +6.0% +16.8% N/A ABOVE 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $234.98 +1.3% +3.5% +6.3% N/A ABOVE 0
BKNG $158.92 -0.3% +4.1% +8.0% N/A ABOVE 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $91.92 -0.3% -3.2% +3.6% N/A ABOVE 1
MCD $280.19 -0.6% -0.1% +1.4% N/A ABOVE 2
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $231.75 +0.3% +4.3% +2.8% N/A ABOVE 0
UPS $117.13 +0.0% +1.7% +2.2% N/A ABOVE 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $347.11 +0.4% +4.6% +3.5% N/A ABOVE 0
HON $192.09 -1.3% -1.5% +0.1% N/A BELOW 2
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRWD $66.78 -0.6% +3.9% -2.2% N/A ABOVE 1
ZS $168.52 -1.1% +1.1% -15.9% N/A BELOW 2
PANW $164.88 -2.4% -4.5% -8.3% N/A BELOW 3
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMAT $183.41 -1.3% +1.6% -10.8% N/A BELOW 1
LRCX $74.53 -1.3% +1.4% -13.2% N/A BELOW 1
ASML $775.86 -2.2% -1.5% -16.5% N/A BELOW 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $150.48 +0.4% -0.6% +6.5% N/A ABOVE 0
EQIX $829.04 -0.4% -0.9% +5.3% N/A ABOVE 2
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SO $84.06 -0.7% +0.6% +1.6% N/A ABOVE 2
DUK $108.90 -0.7% -0.1% +2.8% N/A ABOVE 2
NEE $80.05 -0.8% +1.0% +6.5% N/A ABOVE 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $133.65 +0.4% +3.4% -0.9% N/A BELOW 0
XOM $108.16 +0.4% +3.0% +0.6% N/A BELOW 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $539.48 -0.3% -0.5% +2.7% N/A ABOVE 2
GD $291.03 -0.5% +0.6% +2.8% N/A ABOVE 2
RTX $114.41 -0.6% -1.7% +0.7% N/A ABOVE 2
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $19.82 -0.2% +0.6% +11.2% N/A ABOVE 2
VZ $38.49 -0.5% +0.0% +6.9% N/A ABOVE 2
TMUS $191.00 -3.0% -2.8% +1.0% N/A ABOVE 2
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $91.45 +0.8% +4.8% +3.2% N/A ABOVE 0
NFLX $69.05 -2.3% +0.5% -1.0% N/A ABOVE 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $79.95 +1.0% +1.8% +12.7% N/A ABOVE 0
AMGN $315.29 +0.0% +0.9% +1.1% N/A ABOVE 0
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $456.45 -1.0% -0.1% +1.4% N/A ABOVE 2
APD $273.06 -1.3% +2.6% +4.3% N/A ABOVE 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $190.90 -0.3% +2.4% -3.7% N/A ABOVE 1
MCHP $72.72 -0.8% +0.4% -7.3% N/A BELOW 1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 3.3% to $20.77. T-Mobile (TMUS) (Telecom) fell 3.0% to $191.00. Palo Alto Networks (PANW) (Cybersecurity) fell 2.4% to $164.88. Netflix (NFLX) (Media & Entertainment) fell 2.3% to $69.05. ASML (Chip Equipment) fell 2.2% to $775.86. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 2 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Watchlist conditions are tilted toward caution: there are two high alerts (chip equipment severe drawdown and three sectors down >5% over 20 days) while 17 sectors remain above their 50-day reference versus 7 below, leaving breadth mixed but biased toward resilience. Given the 50-day trend divergence — strong consumer and biotech pockets versus weak capital-goods and cybersecurity groups — positioning should favor quality cyclicals and infrastructure exposures while trimming high-duration tech names that are failing 50-day support. Monitor earnings and capex commentary for any shift in the chip equipment and chip supply chain narratives before increasing risk allocation.

← 2024-09-17
Calendar
2024-09-19 →