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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, February 20, 2026 BULLISH

The US stock market opened with a clear thematic split after headlines around Anthropic and OpenAI rattled cybersecurity and AI supply chains; CrowdStrike (CRWD) slid sharply as investors digested Claude Code security concerns and company-specific weakness, sending Cybersecurity down 5.0% for the day. Chip Equipment outperformed, led by Lam Research (LRCX) which rose 3.2% as investors leaned into the capex cycle; the sector is now +40.3% over 50 days and up 1.8% today. Airlines and logistics showed strength — Delta (DAL) gained 3.0% and United (UAL) added 2.7% — while Energy lagged with Exxon Mobil (XOM) down 2.4%. The Magnificent 7 group was mixed: the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) index rose 1.5% today but remains below its 50-day average overall.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.08%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$66.39
-0.1% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
19.1
-5.6% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+6.3%), QQQ above (+4.5%), DIA above (+8.5%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Pause Discretionary Adds
60%
41 of 68 above 50DMA · +8.8pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.85
Call-Heavy · rising
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI capital spending remains the dominant investment theme as OpenAI’s $600 billion compute target refocuses expectations for infrastructure and chip demand, benefiting names tied to equipment and fabs. NVIDIA (NVDA) $189.59 sits above its 50-day trend and supports the capex narrative while Lam Research (LRCX) $244.45 rallied on equipment optimism; both underscore strength in the Chip Equipment complex. At the same time, Microsoft (MSFT) $396.37, Amazon (AMZN) $210.11 and Alphabet (GOOG) $314.49 remain key Mag 7 exposure points for enterprise AI adoption even as enterprise software and cybersecurity stocks price in slower near-term software spend.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +1.5% +2.3% -4.5% BELOW
Chip Supply Chain -0.1% -0.4% -1.6% BELOW
Infrastructure +0.9% +2.3% +9.9% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -0.7% -1.0% -18.7% BELOW
Finance +0.7% +2.3% +2.4% BELOW
Healthcare -0.7% -2.0% -11.8% BELOW
Retail -0.9% -5.7% +2.4% ABOVE
IT Services +0.3% -3.0% -17.5% BELOW
Airlines +2.8% +2.0% +3.5% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel +0.6% -1.6% -5.6% BELOW
Food & Restaurant +1.2% +2.2% +3.5% ABOVE
Logistics +1.2% +1.5% +18.7% ABOVE
Industrial +0.6% -0.4% +15.7% ABOVE
Cybersecurity -5.0% -10.2% -18.5% BELOW
Chip Equipment +1.8% +4.8% +11.6% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +0.2% -2.9% +13.8% ABOVE
Utilities +0.0% -0.9% +8.7% ABOVE
Energy -1.5% +0.1% +10.6% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace -0.7% +1.6% +4.4% ABOVE
Telecom +0.6% -1.3% +19.7% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment +0.9% +1.2% -6.8% BELOW
Biotech -0.0% -0.4% +10.4% ABOVE
Materials +0.7% +1.9% +8.8% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips +0.8% -1.9% +9.2% ABOVE

Sector Strength

Airlines +2.8% 20d: +3.5%
Delta (DAL) +3.0% (20d: +2.2%) [<50MA], United (UAL) +2.7% (20d: +4.9%)
Chip Equipment +1.8% 20d: +11.6%
Lam Research (LRCX) +3.2% (20d: +12.4%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +1.5% (20d: +16.6%), ASML +0.7% (20d: +5.9%)
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +1.5% 20d: -4.5%
Alphabet (GOOG) +3.7% (20d: -4.1%) [<50MA], Amazon (AMZN) +2.6% (20d: -12.1%) [<50MA], Meta (META) +1.7% (20d: -0.5%) [<50MA]
Logistics +1.2% 20d: +18.7%
FedEx (FDX) +1.4% (20d: +27.7%), UPS +1.0% (20d: +9.6%)
Food & Restaurant +1.2% 20d: +3.5%
Starbucks (SBUX) +1.8% (20d: +0.5%), McDonald's (MCD) +0.6% (20d: +6.5%)

Sector Warnings

Cybersecurity -5.0% 20d: -18.5% CRITICAL
CrowdStrike (CRWD) -7.9% (20d: -14.1%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) -5.5% (20d: -23.8%) [<50MA], Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -1.5% (20d: -17.5%) [<50MA]
Energy -1.5% 20d: +10.6%
Exxon Mobil (XOM) -2.4% (20d: +9.8%), Chevron (CVX) -0.5% (20d: +11.4%)
Retail -0.9% 20d: +2.4%
Walmart (WMT) -1.5% (20d: +4.5%), Costco (COST) -0.3% (20d: +0.3%)
Enterprise Software -0.7% 20d: -18.7% CRITICAL
ServiceNow (NOW) -2.9% (20d: -21.7%) [<50MA], Adobe (ADBE) -0.2% (20d: -14.1%) [<50MA], Salesforce (CRM) -0.1% (20d: -18.8%) [<50MA]
Healthcare -0.7% 20d: -11.8% CRITICAL
Eli Lilly (LLY) -1.3% (20d: -5.0%) [<50MA], UnitedHealth (UNH) +0.0% (20d: -18.6%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Cybersecurity is under acute pressure after news flows about AI code security and company-specific headlines: CrowdStrike (CRWD) $97.15 plunged 7.9% today and Zscaler (ZS) $159.75 dropped 5.5%. The sector is down 5.0% on the day, -18.5% over 20 days and -27.7% over 50 days, triggering a high alert; the 50-day trend context is decisively negative and suggests risk of further multiple compression as investors reassess AI-driven threat surfaces and near-term contract timelines.

Chip Equipment continued to act as the cycle’s epicenter with Lam Research (LRCX) $244.45 leading a 1.8% sector gain and up +40.3% over 50 days. The 50-day trend in Chip Equipment is strongly positive and the group’s 1-day +1.8% and 20-day +11.6% performance points to sustained capex momentum. TSMC (TSM) $368.64 also climbed 2.8% within the broader supply chain, highlighting bifurcation: equipment makers are resilient even as parts of the chip supply chain sit below their 50-day averages.

Enterprise Software showed continued downside with ServiceNow (NOW) $104.27 falling 2.9% and the sector down -0.7% today, -18.7% over 20 days and -29.6% over 50 days. The 50-day trend for Enterprise Software is negative and the group is in the high-alert bucket; continued weakness suggests investors are trimming discretionary SaaS exposure amid tougher renewal and spending signals from corporate IT budgets.

Airlines and Logistics displayed relative strength as travel demand remains intact: Delta (DAL) $68.90 rose 3.0% and United (UAL) $113.03 gained 2.7%, while the Airlines sector is +2.8% on the day but still below its 50-day average at +5.0% relative to that window. Logistics is also constructive — up 1.2% today and +32.0% over 50 days — reinforcing a reflation trade in transportation and reopening beneficiaries.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 14 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 10 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 16 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Enterprise Software down -18.7% over 20 days
HIGH Healthcare down -11.8% over 20 days
HIGH IT Services down -17.5% over 20 days
HIGH Cybersecurity down -18.5% over 20 days
HIGH Enterprise Software down -29.6% over 50 days
HIGH IT Services down -18.4% over 50 days
HIGH Cybersecurity down -27.7% over 50 days
HIGH 6 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Enterprise Software, Healthcare, IT Services, Hospitality & Travel, Cybersecurity, Media & Entertainment
HIGH 3 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Enterprise Software, IT Services, Cybersecurity
MEDIUM MSFT down -17.3% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GOOG $314.49 +3.7% +2.9% -4.1% -0.9% BELOW 0
AMZN $210.11 +2.6% +5.7% -12.1% -7.8% BELOW 0
META $654.49 +1.7% +2.5% -0.5% -0.1% BELOW 0
AAPL $264.34 +1.5% +3.4% +6.8% -4.5% BELOW 0
NVDA $189.59 +1.0% +3.8% +1.1% +2.6% ABOVE 0
TSLA $411.82 +0.0% -1.3% -8.3% -7.5% BELOW 0
MSFT $396.37 -0.3% -0.8% -14.6% -19.1% BELOW 2
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TSM $368.64 +2.8% +1.1% +10.7% +22.5% ABOVE 0
QCOM $141.45 +1.1% +1.5% -8.3% -18.8% BELOW 0
MRVL $79.42 -0.2% +1.1% -0.9% -10.5% BELOW 1
AVGO $331.43 -0.4% +2.3% +3.9% -18.0% BELOW 1
ARM $125.58 -1.1% +0.2% +8.2% -11.5% ABOVE 2
INTC $44.11 -1.1% -5.7% -2.1% +8.9% ABOVE 4
AMD $200.15 -1.6% -3.5% -22.9% -9.7% BELOW 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DELL $121.89 +2.7% +4.1% +5.9% -11.2% ABOVE 0
CSCO $78.48 +0.8% +3.1% +6.2% +0.1% ABOVE 0
SMCI $32.42 +0.8% +6.2% +2.3% -7.4% ABOVE 0
VRT $243.64 +0.3% +3.9% +33.6% +36.6% ABOVE 0
HPE $21.17 -0.1% -5.8% +1.5% -13.2% BELOW 4
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $135.24 +0.3% +2.9% -20.3% -25.6% BELOW 0
CRM $184.22 -0.1% -2.4% -18.8% -28.9% BELOW 2
ADBE $258.61 -0.2% -2.0% -14.1% -24.9% BELOW 2
NOW $104.27 -2.9% -2.6% -21.7% -39.0% BELOW 2
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $307.82 +0.9% +2.7% +4.4% +3.9% BELOW 0
GS $913.39 +0.6% +1.9% +0.4% +5.2% ABOVE 0
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $286.13 +0.0% -1.1% -18.6% -10.4% BELOW 0
LLY $1007.79 -1.3% -2.9% -5.0% +3.0% BELOW 1
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
COST $983.84 -0.3% -3.3% +0.3% +11.1% ABOVE 4
WMT $122.50 -1.5% -8.1% +4.5% +7.1% ABOVE 4
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $255.28 +0.3% -2.0% -11.6% -16.7% BELOW 0
ACN $211.00 +0.2% -4.0% -23.4% -20.1% BELOW 0
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $68.90 +3.0% +0.6% +2.2% +3.0% BELOW 0
UAL $113.03 +2.7% +3.4% +4.9% +6.9% ABOVE 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $162.29 +1.7% -1.5% -20.0% -21.5% BELOW 0
MAR $346.57 -0.6% -1.7% +8.8% +22.6% ABOVE 3
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $96.92 +1.8% +3.9% +0.5% +19.2% ABOVE 0
MCD $325.20 +0.6% +0.5% +6.5% +5.9% ABOVE 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $310.61 +1.4% +3.7% +27.7% +41.9% ABOVE 0
UPS $114.79 +1.0% -0.7% +9.6% +22.1% ABOVE 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $253.21 +1.3% +1.1% +10.2% +28.3% ABOVE 0
CAT $758.30 -0.1% -1.9% +21.2% +28.1% ABOVE 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $148.70 -1.5% -10.9% -17.5% -23.7% BELOW 4
ZS $159.75 -5.5% -10.1% -23.8% -34.3% BELOW 4
CRWD $97.15 -7.9% -9.6% -14.1% -25.0% BELOW 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $244.45 +3.2% +4.0% +12.4% +47.7% ABOVE 0
AMAT $374.91 +1.5% +5.9% +16.6% +40.7% ABOVE 0
ASML $1466.39 +0.7% +4.5% +5.9% +32.4% ABOVE 0
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $918.54 +1.1% -2.9% +17.3% +25.3% ABOVE 0
DLR $173.34 -0.7% -2.9% +10.4% +8.8% ABOVE 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $90.89 +0.6% -1.7% +8.7% +15.7% ABOVE 0
DUK $125.69 +0.3% -1.1% +8.9% +11.0% ABOVE 0
SO $93.53 -0.8% +0.1% +8.6% +11.2% ABOVE 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $182.26 -0.5% +1.1% +11.4% +25.1% ABOVE 1
XOM $146.29 -2.4% -0.8% +9.8% +25.4% ABOVE 1
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $204.07 +0.1% +2.8% +4.9% +19.6% ABOVE 0
GD $348.26 -0.8% +1.1% -3.3% +5.6% ABOVE 1
LMT $650.55 -1.2% +0.9% +11.4% +41.0% ABOVE 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VZ $47.71 +1.3% +0.5% +24.6% +24.8% ABOVE 0
T $27.32 +0.4% -2.5% +18.6% +15.5% ABOVE 0
TMUS $213.27 +0.1% -1.8% +15.8% +7.0% ABOVE 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $78.67 +2.2% +2.3% -8.7% -18.7% BELOW 0
DIS $104.78 -0.4% +0.1% -4.9% -0.7% BELOW 2
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $149.56 +0.2% -2.3% +11.4% +27.7% ABOVE 0
AMGN $371.94 -0.2% +1.5% +9.5% +20.2% ABOVE 2
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $493.29 +1.3% +3.2% +10.0% +27.2% ABOVE 0
APD $277.70 +0.2% +0.5% +7.6% +22.7% ABOVE 0
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $218.62 +0.8% -2.8% +14.4% +23.2% ABOVE 0
MCHP $76.89 +0.7% -1.1% +4.0% +16.3% ABOVE 0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: CrowdStrike (CRWD) (Cybersecurity) fell 7.9% to $97.15. Zscaler (ZS) (Cybersecurity) fell 5.5% to $159.75. Alphabet (GOOG) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 3.7% to $314.49. Lam Research (LRCX) (Chip Equipment) rose 3.2% to $244.45. Delta (DAL) (Airlines) rose 3.0% to $68.90. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 9 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Market breadth is mixed with 14 of 24 sectors trading above their 50MA and 10 below, while active high alerts cluster in Enterprise Software, IT Services and Cybersecurity with multiple 50-day declines greater than 10%. With 6 sectors down >5% over 20 days and 3 sectors down >10% over 50 days, positioning should favor selective cyclicals and capex beneficiaries (Chip Equipment, Logistics) while being defensively rotated away from pressured software and security names. Use size discipline: overweight durable cyclicals showing positive 50-day trends and trim exposure to sectors failing the 50-day test until breadth heals.

Hypothetical Portfolio

SIMULATION
Value $103,970
P&L +3.97%
Today +0.31%
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Calendar
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